Gronk's knee injury: surgery set in January

DaughtersofDougMirabelli

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Pretty interesting 3D demonstration of an ACL surgery, detailing what Gronk will soon be going through.
 
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xsq0sQp6DwU
 

Super Nomario

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mpx42 said:
Albert Breer ‏@AlbertBreer2m
With Pats today, my Gronk update: Tests that showed torn ACL/MCL, also showed no dislocation. Expected to have surgery in about 2 weeks. ...

 
Albert Breer ‏@AlbertBreer1m
... Gronkowski has to wait for swelling to go down before going under the knife. He's been told he should be ready for start of 2014 season.
DaveRoberts'Shoes said:
Sorry, just got back from the game a while ago, so I haven't been able to clarify - obviously he tore his ACL, per the reports (and my early analysis, duh...), and I find it hard to believe he didn't at least tear his MCL to some degree as well, given how he got hit and how his knee buckled.  A couple things to consider here - 
 
1.  If he also tore his meniscus, not a huge deal in the big scheme of things.  If he screwed up his articular cartilage (like Ballard did in the Super Bowl) and needs some sort of cartilage repair, his recovery is going to be much less predictable.  Some guys do fine with it, some (Ballard, for instance)... not so much.  It's certainly in play given how violent that injury was.
Based on the Breer report, it sounds like we are out of the woods on this one, right?
 
DaveRoberts'Shoes said:
2.  Even if it's "just" his ACL and MCL, I'd be SHOCKED if he's not on the PUP list to start the season.  He probably won't have surgery for at least a few weeks to do some "pre-hab" and let his MCL heal. That puts his surgery in January, and he won't be back to "full" activities until at least July.  Why rush things, given that he will have had SIX sugeries in the last 12 months...
Sounds like this is about right. Two weeks is 12/30, which is basically January. Sounds like 2014 could unfold roughly like 2013, with Gronk resuming activities but not active for a few weeks. Of course, that's assuming no complications / additional surgeries. "Ready for 2014" seems optimistic, especially given his injury history and the (appropriately) cautious way they handled his recovery this year.
 
DaveRoberts'Shoes said:
 
3.  If he actually did go to a hospital for observation, as Belichik said, I'm concerned about something else-  he dislocated his knee and they're worried about a vascular injury or compartment syndrome developing or something else.  
Could this have been lingering distrust of the Pats' medical staff? Or perhaps excessive caution on behalf of Gronk / his agent / his family / the team docs that don't want another black mark after how his arm was handled?
 

DaveRoberts'Shoes

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Super Nomario said:
Based on the Breer report, it sounds like we are out of the woods on this one, right?
 
Sounds like this is about right. Two weeks is 12/30, which is basically January. Sounds like 2014 could unfold roughly like 2013, with Gronk resuming activities but not active for a few weeks. Of course, that's assuming no complications / additional surgeries. "Ready for 2014" seems optimistic, especially given his injury history and the (appropriately) cautious way they handled his recovery this year.
 
Could this have been lingering distrust of the Pats' medical staff? Or perhaps excessive caution on behalf of Gronk / his agent / his family / the team docs that don't want another black mark after how his arm was handled?
Not necessarily out of the woods on the cartilage issue - they may not be disclosing that or they may not actually find out until they get in.  MRI is excellent at diagnosing ACLs and meniscus tears, not always as good with articular cartilage injuries.  But hopefully so, I would think something would have leaked by now.
 
As for the overnight stay, I talked to one of the Pats' medical guys this weekend and he said it was for observation after his concussion, not having to do with his knee.  I guess it's hard enough to assess Gronk's mental "status" at baseline, so they wanted to keep an eye on him and make sure he didn't do anything stupider than usual.
 

dynomite

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Number45forever said:
http://espn.go.com/boston/nfl/story/_/id/10257061/rob-gronkowski-new-england-patriots-knee-surgery-thursday
 
Gronk having surgery on Thursday, Dr. James Andrews doing the honor.  6.5 months to start of training camp, so he'll probably not be ready for that?
 
Well, more importantly, it's still 9 months until Sunday, September 7th, which is scheduled to be the Patriots first game of the season (obviously it'll be moved to Thursday, September 4th after they win the Super Bowl). 
 
According to this article written in December, Gronk should be back sometime in October. http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1887221-rob-gronkowskis-acl-mcl-injury-will-he-be-ready-for-the-start-of-2014
 
Seems like it'll be a bit a deja vu for Gronk in 2014.  He'll probably miss training camp as he rehabs, there will be precious little actual information about his progress, and the team will have to make a close call about whether to put him on PUP or gamble that he can return faster.
 

Stitch01

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Id be suprised if the Pats build their 2014 team under the assumption Gronk will be a part of it.  Anything they get from him next year is gravy.
 

dcmissle

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Deja vu for Dr. Andrews as well, who recently went through a very awkward experience here on timetables.  I would not count on him aiding and abetting any more unrealistically ambitious agendas.
 

DaughtersofDougMirabelli

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Stitch01 said:
Id be suprised if the Pats build their 2014 team under the assumption Gronk will be a part of it.  Anything they get from him next year is gravy.
 
Why?
 
We've seen numerous incidents recently of players bouncing back from ACL injuries and returning to form (or close to it) the next season. I don't see any reason why the Pats would just write off Gronk's 2014. 
 

dcmissle

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There is a mid-point between writing off and building your team on the assumption that he'll be part of the core.  Add also that you can assume very little about the productiveness of Dobson, Boyce, Thompkins.  WRs who make a big splash as rookies are pretty rare, but are any of these three take-to-the-bank in terms of their reliability for 2014 and what, specifically, it's reasonable to count on from them?
 

Super Nomario

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dcmissle said:
There is a mid-point between writing off and building your team on the assumption that he'll be part of the core.  Add also that you can assume very little about the productiveness of Dobson, Boyce, Thompkins.  WRs who make a big splash as rookies are pretty rare, but are any of these three take-to-the-bank in terms of their reliability for 2014 and what, specifically, it's reasonable to count on from them?
Realistically, I think they need to re-sign Edelman and draft a TE in the first few rounds next season. They just invested a couple picks on WR and Dobson and Thompkins have shown enough that I don't think it makes a lot of sense to throw more resources that way, and whether or not Gronkowski is healthy in 2014, TE depth is an issue. Hoomanawanui is a free agent one of the least-productive pass-catching TE in the league (no TE who's gone out for as many as Hoomanawanui's 200 pass routes has fewer targets or receiving yards). Whether or not they get a 100% Gronkowski next year, they need a Hernandez replacement if they want to run some 2-TE stuff, and that player would also provide Gronk insurance.
 

Stitch01

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DaughtersofDougMirabelli said:
 
Why?
 
We've seen numerous incidents recently of players bouncing back from ACL injuries and returning to form (or close to it) the next season. I don't see any reason why the Pats would just write off Gronk's 2014. 
 
Its five or six surgeries in a year, the second straight year where Gronk isnt going to be able to have a normal offseason and, while players are returning from knee surgeries more quickly these days, there is still a range of rehab times and a range of effectiveness for guys that come back quickly from ACL tears.
 
I dont think it would be a very good plan to build a team thinking that Gronk was going to be there in '14.  I suspect that means spending more resources on the TE position in the offseason, might change how they think about spending on Edelman and what they emphasize on offense, etc.
 
EDIT: I do agree with SN that the rookie receiving trio from this year and Amendola making equal/more contributions next year has to be a big part of the picture.  Given the cap constraints and needs elsewhere, it seems unlikely to me unless the stars really align that the team puts meaningful resources into the WR position.
 

lexrageorge

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I have to believe that Dobson, Thompkins, and Boyce shown enough this season that it's not simply wishcasting to think that at least one of them can take the next step in 2014 and develop into a dependable #1 or #2 target for Mr. Brady.  Dobson seemed close to getting there midseason until he got hurt against Carolina.  
 
Come draft time, the Pats may have a better feel for Gronk's availability for 2014.  But since we already know Hernandez' availability for 2014, I'm fairly certain a TE will be on the offseason wish list for the Pats.  
 

SMU_Sox

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Phragle and I discussed this in the draft thread but there are two large tight ends who are excellent receivers in ASJ and Jace Amaro. If either is available when they pick in the late first you have to think both are on the table. You can get interior offensive and defensive line guys later on in the draft, even round two. But huge athletic receiving and potential blocking tight ends are a rare bunch and I think worthy of a high pick.
 

dcmissle

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Agree with the above and not suggesting for a second that they ought to be in the WR aisle -- unless a compelling value is there.  My point instead is that because you can't count on any of the baby WRs for any specific level of production, you'd better be sure you're squared away at TE.  It is not too conservative to assume that anything Gronk delivers next year will be  gravy.
 

Reverend

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DaughtersofDougMirabelli said:
 
Why?
 
We've seen numerous incidents recently of players bouncing back from ACL injuries and returning to form (or close to it) the next season. I don't see any reason why the Pats would just write off Gronk's 2014. 
 
It's not just an ACL though.
 

Seels

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lexrageorge said:
I have to believe that Dobson, Thompkins, and Boyce shown enough this season that it's not simply wishcasting to think that at least one of them can take the next step in 2014 and develop into a dependable #1 or #2 target for Mr. Brady.  Dobson seemed close to getting there midseason until he got hurt against Carolina.  
 
Come draft time, the Pats may have a better feel for Gronk's availability for 2014.  But since we already know Hernandez' availability for 2014, I'm fairly certain a TE will be on the offseason wish list for the Pats.  
Thompkins hasn't shown me he'll ever be anything more than a JAG. Boyce played like what 6 downs at WR? Dobson sure.
 

DaughtersofDougMirabelli

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Reverend said:
 
It's not just an ACL though.
 
It's ACL/MCL (and a concussion but that won't add to the timeframe). Which isn't much different* from my initial point that most players still bounce back from that. Peterson, Brady, Welker, Revis, Cushing, Charles, just to name a few all tore both.
 
*I'm not saying it's not different from only tearing ACL, just that my point was guys bounce back from this exact injury more often than not these days. 
 

DaveRoberts'Shoes

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Objectively, his ACL surgery and recovery shouldn't be a whole lot different than anyone else's.  But, as has been mentioned before, he's now had 6 (SIX!!!!) surgeries in the last year.  That's.... insane.  His conditioning is not going to be where it needs to be by the start of next year.  He's not going to be able to do the basic core strengthening exercises he would normally be doing in the off-season for months yet.  If he doesn't start the season on the PUP list I'll give my $100 to the Jimmy Fund.  
 
I'll let you know if I hear anything from my boy at the Andrews fellowship - he's in Alabama right now and I think Gronk is having his surgery in Clearwater, but he might still get some inside info.
 

triniSox

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BigSoxFan said:
Of course, his other 85 surgeries "went very well" too.
Having seen Gronk's luck, I'm thankful this wasn't the one where Jimmy was like "damn I screwed up, maybe I should hang up my scrubs"
 

DJnVa

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Stitch01 said:
Well, we know he didnt die on the table.  That's a good start.
 
I don't know. Maybe we can make a Frankenstein like monster out of him.