Garin Cecchini
- Thread starter The Gray Eagle
- Start date
Cecchini is still putting up horrible numbers - .190/.263/.254 :barf: Not even much BABIP help coming at .271. 7.6%BB / 28.7% K. I defer to you guys that have followed prospects for a while, what does this mean for Cecchini's chances of becoming an MLB regular? Is there any chance of him snapping out of this and getting back to being the 50 prospect that McDaniels put him as? Could he be injured? 157 PAs is not too much of a small sample size anymore. Thanks for any opinions or thoughts about him.
Chris Hatfield (of SoxProspects) opined on Twitter that Cecchini's problems could be stemming from trying to sell out for power, which strikes me as a reasonable take. From what I recall, Cecchini's scouting report always talked about his ability to square up the ball, and even if the power never came, he had a plus hit tool. Hard to imagine his numbers would collapse so drastically unless he did some serious re-tooling to get away from that approach.
I know RBIs are heavily context-dependent and not really indicative of talent -- but Cecchini has only 2 RBIs through June 3.
Hee Sox Choi said:
165 PA (as of today) is indeed a small sample compared to his much larger sample of numbers he has put up his career up until this year. Plus his BABIP is 100 points lower than his career average.
He's been horrific for a month and a half of games, and there could be different reasons for it (injury, change in approach, mental issues stemming from last season/feeling blocked), but it is a small sample.
At this point, Cecchini is hitting .241/.320/.337 over 154 AAA games and 632 plate appearances. Add those numbers to his borderline defensive skills, and it's hard to argue with confidence at this point that he's got a major-league future.
Just when I open my big mouth...
Cecchini apparently had shoulder inflammation in April, so maybe he's been bothered by the injury throughout May. He's gone through a mini-streak lately -- and while it's idiotic to read too much into these little bursts of production, I'm an idiot, so maybe this is a sign he's healthy and back.
Cecchini apparently had shoulder inflammation in April, so maybe he's been bothered by the injury throughout May. He's gone through a mini-streak lately -- and while it's idiotic to read too much into these little bursts of production, I'm an idiot, so maybe this is a sign he's healthy and back.
He's somehow managed to get worse: now down to .187/.262/.280. He's 4 for his last 32, but he has gone 2 for his last 12, so he's on a (relative) hot streak!
This guy is messed up and nothing seems to be helping to fix him.
This guy is messed up and nothing seems to be helping to fix him.
It seems this lost season may be quietly turning itself around for Cecchini. He's 24 for his last 80 since he started his relative hot streak Gray Eagle mentions above. Slash line of .300/.356/.375/.731 over that time. Not eye-popping, but leaps and bounds up from where he was most of the season. Now sitting at .220/.294/.309/.603 overall. Another solid month to end the year, and he could be a prospect again.
tonyarmasjr said:
3 for 3 with a double and a walk tonight. Don't look now, but after that OBP bump in July, he's found some power again in August. I'm not much with trends, but this says BUY BUY BUY to me.
JimBoSox9 said:
3 for 3 with a double and a walk tonight. Don't look now, but after that OBP bump in July, he's found some power again in August. I'm not much with trends, but this says BUY BUY BUY to me.
Unfortunately, Cecchini finished August 153/223/200, by far his worst month. Which is probably why we shouldn't read too much into trends.
There's an interesting piece on Cecchini and prospect attrition at Baseball Prospectus. Cecchini certainly still has a shot at MLB, but it sure isn't looking good for him. I wouldn't be surprised to see him (and probably Brentz) traded or DFA'd to clear some space on the 40-man.
Assuming the Sox add both Margot and Hernandez before any trades occur this offseason, the Sox will have 20 position players on their 40-man roster. That's good balance, and the guys most likely to supplant them finished up the year in Greenville.alwyn96 said:
So while it's possible one or both those guys get DFA'd before March, it seems more likely to happen after the Sox identify/sign whichever pitchers they want to keep.
Assuming the Sox cut bait on Ogando, Machi, and Cook they should have 2 open spots. After those are filled, that's when the fun begins.
Maybe we could just send him to the NYM as a main piece in a Harvey deal. Saves them a headache, unites the brothers. Really, it'd be a lovely story all around.
Don't think I'd use "decayed" with a 24 year old. I think it more likely he screwed himself up trying to develop the power. Hope to see him land someplace where he can get his strengths back and find a niche for himself.
