Built for the Regular Season?

moly99

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Is there a cap hold for draft picks?

I don't see that happening, but if Seattle ever gets a team that would be a potential landing spot for the contract. (They come into the league under the cap).
My hot take as a Boston emigre to Seattle: I think Seattle will have to wait until 2030 for a team. They won't be able to finish digging a subway tunnel through Queen Anne until 2030 or so, and nimbys don't want the NBA and NHL until there is a mass transit line to the arena to mitigate traffic.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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Every time we lose we debate the wisdom of trading IT. Literally, every single time.
Well we can start doing while after the Cs win because no matter what happens, DA hasto figure out what can be done with IT4. And AB. And Smart.

Lots of plates spinning around, a few of which are out of the Cs control. We'll be talking a lot more about this after the lottery.
 

tbrown_01923

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I would feel better about a Marcus / Avery backcourt, if Marcus hadn't just come off (completely unreasonable for me to feel this way after one game) 8 turnovers, not handled the pressure this series (minus that beast of an offensive board in game 2), and I hadn't fallen in love watching IT4 over the past two years. Avery/Marcus backcourt is defensively ideal, and in general I think Marcus is a decent point guard (he has improved, and I think he can continue to get better in that regard).

He is such a compelling (admittedly flawed) player to root for. If you are telling me what team is better one with IT or one with another versatile big (like horford) and a wing scorer - it is probably the second. But man I love rooting for IT .
 

HomeRunBaker

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I would feel better about a Marcus / Avery backcourt, if Marcus hadn't just come off (completely unreasonable for me to feel this way after one game) 8 turnovers, not handled the pressure this series (minus that beast of an offensive board in game 2), and I hadn't fallen in love watching IT4 over the past two years. Avery/Marcus backcourt is defensively ideal, and in general I think Marcus is a decent point guard (he has improved, and I think he can continue to get better in that regard).

He is such a compelling (admittedly flawed) player to root for. If you are telling me what team is better one with IT or one with another versatile big (like horford) and a wing scorer - it is probably the second. But man I love rooting for IT .
Smart's problem is that as a PG he struggles badly in getting to his spot against most starting 1's. He is best in a combo role which is how we generally run our offense anyway but a first unit of Smart/Avery would really have trouble initiating an offense as well as creating quality shots late in the possession in iso against the shot clock.

He is about as ideal of a 3rd guard as you can have much like Tony Allen in a lot of ways. Versatility, toughness, and he competes. You just can't give this player responsibilities outside of his strengths or the warts show up and take away from all the good he brings. Smart is a role player.....a very good one. Smart isn't a core top 3 player on your team if you're looking to compete for a championship.
 

tbrown_01923

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Smart's problem is that as a PG he struggles badly in getting to his spot against most starting 1's. He is best in a combo role which is how we generally run our offense anyway but a first unit
I guess I am projecting a bit more growth. Still that type of team definitely would need a shot creator on the wing.
 

sezwho

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Smart isn't a core top 3 player on your team if you're looking to compete for a championship.
I like the Tony Allen comparison, but I think Smart's ability to handle the point creates additional value and also believe he will continue to improve. He gets into all the end of game rotations and makes game winning plays when there. As long as the Celtics can maintain a configuration where he doesn't need to carry a huge scoring burden I would like to hold onto him for as long as possible, warts and all.
 

nighthob

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Smart's problem is that as a PG he struggles badly in getting to his spot against most starting 1's.
I think that with a Smart/Bradley backcourt you would see Marcus running the offense out of the 2 spot so that Bradley can do what he does best, shoot open jumpers and terrorize point guards. In any event I'm on to envisioning the backcourt next year as IT/Smart/Fultz/Rozier...

He is about as ideal of a 3rd guard as you can have much like Tony Allen in a lot of ways. Versatility, toughness, and he competes. ... Smart is a role player.....a very good one. Smart isn't a core top 3 player on your team if you're looking to compete for a championship.
This I agree with, he's the ultimate NBA sixth man, and one you can leave on the floor in crunch time. He's also a great clubhouse guy, which is why I just don't see them trading him.
 

tbrown_01923

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I think that with a Smart/Bradley backcourt you would see Marcus running the offense out of the 2 spot so that Bradley can do what he does best, shoot open jumpers and terrorize point guards. In any event I'm on to envisioning the backcourt next year as IT/Smart/Fultz/Rozier...
That was what I was getting at with Bradley/Smart. And I agree with next years backcourt - my point was that had IT4 not been so dynamic, I could see Bradley/Smart being effective - if there was a shot creator at the three.
 

JakeRae

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I think that with a Smart/Bradley backcourt you would see Marcus running the offense out of the 2 spot so that Bradley can do what he does best, shoot open jumpers and terrorize point guards. In any event I'm on to envisioning the backcourt next year as IT/Smart/Fultz/Rozier...
I think there's a decent chance that next year's roster includes Jaylen starting at the 2. It's also possible that, in a world where Hayward signs, Jae and Hayward start at the 2 and 3 and finish at the 3 and 4 while Smart, Rozier, Jaylen, and Fultz play off the bench. A starting unit of, say, IT, Jae, Hayward, Olynyk, Horford and closing unit with Smart replacing Olynyk could make a lot of sense. The bench would be everyone mentioned above plus Zivic and Yabusele. Zivic might transition to starting if he lives up to expectations, but that's too much to ask initially.

Jaylen is who Brad went to as the starting two when Bradley was hurt, and I see no reason why that would change next year if Bradley is traded, unless Hayward is signed, where I think Jae keeps a starting job for ego reasons. Either way, starting big at the 2 makes up somewhat for the size we give up at the 1. Lastly, Smart has always seemed more comfortable coming off the bench.
 

nighthob

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I do think that if Boston isn't able to close a trade that there's a decent chance that Brown is Boston's starting SG by season's end next year. If they are able to close on Hayward I imagine that they'll be looking to package Bradley & Crowder for a real upgrade at the PF slot.

If
they can get Millsap to agree to sign and be patient, then they can fit Hayward into their payroll by having Yabooty sign overseas for one more year and renouncing Zeller and Mickey. Then you just need to work out a Bradley/Crowder/Olynyk (on a sign & trade) for Millsap deal.
 

sezwho

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Tthat is a ridiculous haul for a team with zero leverage and just acting as a facilitator.
If this scenario has the Cs getting Millsap and Hayward somehow then I'm happy for the facilitator to get a ransom. As I understand it we need the cap space regardless. Too many Cs guards (even before the draft!) and an attempt to build a winning team instead of asset pile, that admittedly has well exceeded expectations, means the choices get tougher and the piper must be paid.

Personally, I'm open to the idea of trading the #1 pick even if we get it. If we can get one of the unicorns (Zinger for example) for '17+ then this team could resign the current roster and be a threat to Cavs. I reject the idea of waiting for GSW to simply fade as defeatist.
 

nighthob

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Tthat is a ridiculous haul for a team with zero leverage and just acting as a facilitator.
It's a cap question. There isn't room for two present-max players, so the second one would need to come via trade.
 

the moops

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It's a cap question. There isn't room for two present-max players, so the second one would need to come via trade.
Oh I understand. It's just that a typical one of these sign and trades results in far fewer assets going the other way. ATL would be fucking ecstatic to receive all that for a free agent they weren't planning on signing.
 

nighthob

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Oh I understand. It's just that a typical one of these sign and trades results in far fewer assets going the other way. ATL would be fucking ecstatic to receive all that for a free agent they weren't planning on signing.
Boston could always try to get Taurean Prince in the exchange, he'd be a pretty good swing forward for them.

I guess alternatively you could always see if the Hawks would pay 4/75 for Olynyk, use Bradley and the non-Zeller non-guaranteed contracts to make up the weight, and then move Crowder elsewhere for picks.
 

mcpickl

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I do think that if Boston isn't able to close a trade that there's a decent chance that Brown is Boston's starting SG by season's end next year. If they are able to close on Hayward I imagine that they'll be looking to package Bradley & Crowder for a real upgrade at the PF slot.

If
they can get Millsap to agree to sign and be patient, then they can fit Hayward into their payroll by having Yabooty sign overseas for one more year and renouncing Zeller and Mickey. Then you just need to work out a Bradley/Crowder/Olynyk (on a sign & trade) for Millsap deal.
There's no way to fit Hayward in at the max while keeping Olynyks' rights. Unless you moved off another of the Celtics core players first and didn't take back any salary.

Also, no way you'd give up Bradley/Crowder/Olynyk on a sign and trade. If you were willing to do that, you'd trade at least two of them to teams that have cap space to absorb them and get assets back. Then either sign Millsap if you have enough space, or sign and trade a much smaller haul to Atlanta to fit him in if you're still a little short on cap space.
 

nighthob

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Boston has approximately $11 million in non-guaranteed salary next year that they can jettison to clear the space for Hayward (this assumes that Yabooty signs an overseas contract so that there's no first round cap hold on him).
 

mcpickl

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Boston has approximately $11 million in non-guaranteed salary next year that they can jettison to clear the space for Hayward (this assumes that Yabooty signs an overseas contract so that there's no first round cap hold on him).
I'm well aware

Even assuming you renounce/waive everyone who isn't guaranteed, and you make Yabusele play overseas again, here's next years cap hits(rounded)

Horford 27.7
Bradley 8.8
Crowder 6.8
Thomas 6.3
Brown 5.0
Smart 4.5
Rozier 2.0
Zizic 1.4
Olynyk 7.7 cap hold
Brooklyn pick between 3.7-5.1 cap hold depending where pick lands

That's only ten spots. You'd have to take a cap charge for two empty cap spots for the minimum salary.

So your cap stands at 75-76.5M(a little more if Demetrius Jackson does have a partial guarantee, seen conflicting reports)

Next years cap is expected at 102M, making a Hayward max at 30.6M.

Does not fit with Olynyk unless you move someone(or two) without taking salary back.
 
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plucy

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a rock and a hard place
The Brooklyn pick is valued between 5,090,040 (4) and 7,026,240 (1) per article on CelticLife.
Jackson has 650,000 guaranteed per Pincus on BI. The non guaranteed part is over 734K, which is less than the cap charge of 815,615.
With Yabu back overseas and substitute a cap charge, that's ~$ 65m for ten slots.
The cap is $101m per last rumors, so max is $30.3m.
So the last two slots cannot exceed ~$5.7m if they want to sign a max FA,unless the $65m is reduced by trade, where there are all kinds of possibilities.
I've been pushing these numbers around for awhile but there are some tough choices, especially with free agency after '18.
If there are any corrections to my numbers please let me know. It's been a fun exercise to shape a future roster.
 

RetractableRoof

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I'm well aware

Even assuming you renounce/waive everyone who isn't guaranteed, and you make Yabusele play overseas again, here's next years cap hits(rounded)

Horford 27.7
Bradley 8.8
Crowder 6.8
Thomas 6.3
Brown 5.0
Smart 4.5
Rozier 2.0
Zizic 1.4
Olynyk 7.7 cap hold
Brooklyn pick between 3.7-5.1 cap hold depending where pick lands

That's only ten spots. You'd have to take a cap charge for two empty cap spots for the minimum salary.

So your cap stands at 75-76.5M(a little more if Demetrius Jackson does have a partial guarantee, seen conflicting reports)

Next years cap is expected at 102M, making a Hayward max at 30.6M.

Does not fit with Olynyk unless you move someone(or two) without taking salary back.
Given the way that Ainge seems to view things, the roster can't look exactly like that (not suggesting you are saying it is), because whoever Ainge perceives to be blocking the 2017 draft pick will be moved. If I were Crowder I wouldn't be comfortable this off season (I believe a non-#1 pick has Ainge looking at Jackson. If I were Bradley I wouldn't be comfortable - if they get the #1 it's Fulz. I love Bradley, but he he's got enough warts in his game (non-defensive ones) at his salary that I think he is at risk if the Celts draft a guard. So one of those two being dealt with lesser money coming back creates the rest of the Hayward space that is being talked about (without giving up Olynyk).

I like Olynyk, and doubt Hayward is coming, but it is possible - though I agree with your larger point that something has to give in terms of players we do see on the team now. Based on Ainge's interviews, etc - he knows this team wasn't championship caliber, and he knows he has a bunch of moving parts with regard to when he thinks the window is open and the ages of the players that won't align with that window. I think these two games in Washington reinforce what he already knows about IT4 and a couple of others. I think if Ainge didn't trust Stevens completely that Brown would have gotten more run in the playoffs.

It will be fascinating watching this off season...
 

Eddie Jurak

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If Crowder is gone, it is because he has value. He's versatile enough and valuable enough and cheap enough that there is no need to move him to create space. (Olynyk, wherever he goes, may well end up making twice what Crowder is owed per year over longer term). Same for all of them.

They need another guy besides IT that they can go to when they need a bucket.

They need to not be so reliant on small guards.

They need another star player.

They have a lot of decent guys, but - as someone here posted a while ago - they aren't built on any type of design other than "pick up undervalued guys for cheap". It's led them to have a lot of interesting guys on the team, but there isn't a whole lot of rhyme and reason to how they are assembled.

In addition to adding talent, they need to start thinking about how the team is going to look going forward and starting to move guys who don't fit the blueprint, even if they are good NBA players who can fill roles elsewhere.

A lot will depend on which player they end up with after the draft.
 

ishmael

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If Crowder is gone, it is because he has value. He's versatile enough and valuable enough and cheap enough that there is no need to move him to create space. (Olynyk, wherever he goes, may well end up making twice what Crowder is owed per year over longer term). Same for all of them.

They need another guy besides IT that they can go to when they need a bucket.

They need to not be so reliant on small guards.

They need another star player.

They have a lot of decent guys, but - as someone here posted a while ago - they aren't built on any type of design other than "pick up undervalued guys for cheap". It's led them to have a lot of interesting guys on the team, but there isn't a whole lot of rhyme and reason to how they are assembled.

In addition to adding talent, they need to start thinking about how the team is going to look going forward and starting to move guys who don't fit the blueprint, even if they are good NBA players who can fill roles elsewhere.

A lot will depend on which player they end up with after the draft.
25 >> 40 >> 48 >> 53

Seems to me that upgrading the roster, while getting continually younger has been a winning strategy (that 2013-2014 team had Jeff Green, Brandon Bass, Jared Sullinger, Avery Bradley, Gerald Wallace, and a rookie Kelly Olynyk leading the team in minutes).

Zizic will hopefully be an upgrade over Amir. If they can convince Hayward to come onboard, then Kelly is gone. And while I expect Danny to do his best to address the fit issues (need at least one bigger guard to pair with IT4), I doubt he'll do it if there isn't an offer on the table that brings back equal value for AB or Jae.
 

Eddie Jurak

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25 >> 40 >> 48 >> 53

Seems to me that upgrading the roster, while getting continually younger has been a winning strategy (that 2013-2014 team had Jeff Green, Brandon Bass, Jared Sullinger, Avery Bradley, Gerald Wallace, and a rookie Kelly Olynyk leading the team in minutes).
It has been. But they are probably at the limit of how far they can get that way. At some point they need to pick up their star(s) and start building around them. We'll know a lot more about this team following the draft.
 

sezwho

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They need another guy besides IT that they can go to when they need a bucket.

They need to not be so reliant on small guards.

They need another star player.
This seems like a good time to remember DeMarcus Cousins is all of the above and then some (epic post presence at both ends) and moved this season for assets the Celtics could have topped. One of these things must be true: Vivek Ranadive is crazy, DeMarcus Cousins is crazy, Vlade Divac is crazy or Danny Ainge is crazy. I put them in my own personal perceived order of likelihood but could easily swap the first three.

But they are probably at the limit of how far they can get that way. At some point they need to pick up their star(s) and start building around them. We'll know a lot more about this team following the draft.
Team building by accumulating undervalued assets has left the Celtics with the holes above and I'm inclined to agree its taken them as far as it can. Where I would differ is that we will necessarily know much more following the draft...unless you mean well after the draft. Lets say they get Fultz or Ball, then what? Is it Bradley who goes? Smart? Thomas in a blockbuster? What would it mean for Rozier? Brown seems likely to stay regardless, but could it impact Crowder? On the other hand, lets say they grab a SF instead. Does that really mean Crowder goes, or are all the above scenarios still in play?

I guess Fultz is the only one that I would think has a fairly limited set of outcomes, but that is only 25% and even that could impact at least three different roster players. I know thats a bit rambling, but what I'm getting at is this draft seems likely to be more impactful on the 3-5 year timeline, while the 2017-18 team will really be settled mostly after one or more fairly significant trades and/or FA signings. If people see a clearer path for the roster dominoes to fall based on one likely top 4 pick or another, I'd love to hear it!
 

BigSoxFan

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I'd love to know what the Kings wanted from the Celtics for Cousins and if there was any price that Ainge would have considered or if it was a 100% nonstarter. End of the day, I understand why they didn't go down that route but I'll always be a little curious about what a Cousins/Horford/Crowder/Bradley/IT lineup could have accomplished. Of course, if Ranadive thought that Hield was another Steph Curry, then maybe we couldn't have topped it without going into the Brooklyn assets that we didn't want to touch.
 

Eddie Jurak

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I'd love to know what the Kings wanted from the Celtics for Cousins and if there was any price that Ainge would have considered or if it was a 100% nonstarter. End of the day, I understand why they didn't go down that route but I'll always be a little curious about what a Cousins/Horford/Crowder/Bradley/IT lineup could have accomplished. Of course, if Ranadive thought that Hield was another Steph Curry, then maybe we couldn't have topped it without going into the Brooklyn assets that we didn't want to touch.
I think not going down that route was a mistake, given the low price Sacramento got for him.
 

moondog80

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I think not going down that route was a mistake, given the low price Sacramento got for him.
I'm inclined to agree, though we really don't know what the price would have been for us, as Sacto was said to value Buddy Hield quite a bit (and did he did improve a lot for them).
 

Eddie Jurak

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This seems like a good time to remember DeMarcus Cousins is all of the above and then some (epic post presence at both ends) and moved this season for assets the Celtics could have topped. One of these things must be true: Vivek Ranadive is crazy, DeMarcus Cousins is crazy, Vlade Divac is crazy or Danny Ainge is crazy. I put them in my own personal perceived order of likelihood but could easily swap the first three.



Team building by accumulating undervalued assets has left the Celtics with the holes above and I'm inclined to agree its taken them as far as it can. Where I would differ is that we will necessarily know much more following the draft...unless you mean well after the draft. Lets say they get Fultz or Ball, then what? Is it Bradley who goes? Smart? Thomas in a blockbuster? What would it mean for Rozier? Brown seems likely to stay regardless, but could it impact Crowder? On the other hand, lets say they grab a SF instead. Does that really mean Crowder goes, or are all the above scenarios still in play?

I guess Fultz is the only one that I would think has a fairly limited set of outcomes, but that is only 25% and even that could impact at least three different roster players. I know thats a bit rambling, but what I'm getting at is this draft seems likely to be more impactful on the 3-5 year timeline, while the 2017-18 team will really be settled mostly after one or more fairly significant trades and/or FA signings. If people see a clearer path for the roster dominoes to fall based on one likely top 4 pick or another, I'd love to hear it!
Well, you are right. What we'll know after the draft is whether they used the pick or dealt it. If they kept the pick, we'll know who they chose and who they passed on. So we will know significantly more after the draft than we do now, but there will still be a lot that remains in doubt.
 

JakeRae

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The Celtics, simply put, are not built for the playoffs. They are built for regular season success, which is no small or unimportant thing. But if they want to be a championship team, they need to be constructed differently. They need to add more top-end talent, even if it sacrifices some depth. And they need to add toughness.
:confused::confused::confused:
 

BaseballJones

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Did you miss the part where I said, "But if they want to be a championship team, they need to be constructed differently."?

They haven't even gotten out of their conference yet, never mind won a championship.

But I'm pumped at how they're doing. Fun series. Let's see how it goes against Cleveland. I love this team, but I stand by my original statement - if they want to be a championship team, they need to add more top-end talent.

I'll HAPPILY eat my words if they go on to win this whole thing - even if they beat Cleveland, for that matter.
 

JakeRae

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Did you miss the part where I said, "But if they want to be a championship team, they need to be constructed differently."?

They haven't even gotten out of their conference yet, never mind won a championship.

But I'm pumped at how they're doing. Fun series. Let's see how it goes against Cleveland. I love this team, but I stand by my original statement - if they want to be a championship team, they need to add more top-end talent.

I'll HAPPILY eat my words if they go on to win this whole thing - even if they beat Cleveland, for that matter.
You started this thread to discuss why the Celtics were a playoff failure, not why they don't have quite enough talent to realistically compete for a title. The latter is undeniably true. The former was a massive overreaction to two bad games. Own your mistake, don't pretend you meant something other than what you meant.
 

Van Everyman

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People can reasonably disagree at this point about the "competing for the championship" piece. But, BJ, you were dead wrong about the toughness.
 

BaseballJones

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I never said they weren't tough. I talked about toughness in the context of them not being a good rebounding team, and lo and behold, they got crushed on the boards again tonight. They won by ten despite being -12 on the glass. That's actually not easy to do.

I don't think they are top-end talented enough to win a championship. I will stand by that unless they somehow prove me wrong. I honestly think they would have lost to the Bulls if Rondo hadn't gotten hurt. We will never know, of course, but there are good reasons for thinking that way.

Since quite a few people agreed with me in this thread, I don't think my assessment was that far off base. At least, others saw the same issues I did.

I'm pumped they won two playoff series. Good work.
 

lexrageorge

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I never said they weren't tough. I talked about toughness in the context of them not being a good rebounding team, and lo and behold, they got crushed on the boards again tonight. They won by ten despite being -12 on the glass. That's actually not easy to do.

I don't think they are top-end talented enough to win a championship. I will stand by that unless they somehow prove me wrong. I honestly think they would have lost to the Bulls if Rondo hadn't gotten hurt. We will never know, of course, but there are good reasons for thinking that way.

Since quite a few people agreed with me in this thread, I don't think my assessment was that far off base. At least, others saw the same issues I did.

I'm pumped they won two playoff series. Good work.
Washington had a 44-41 rebound edge, and 13-12 on the offensive glass. That's hardly being "crushed on the boards".
 

smastroyin

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We're at the point in the thread where I feel more stupid every time I read it.

BJ, give it up, you don't know that much about this team or, it seems, the way basketball is being played in the modern NBA. You sound like my friends who ignore the NBA completely until the Celtics are in the playoffs - which is totally fine. But you don't then also get to claim a special better knowledge than everyone else when you get called out for being wrong. You take your damn lumps and move on. Anything else and it actually sounds like you'd rather cheer for being right than cheer for the team you are ostensibly a fan of. And that's lame.

And for God's sake, don't come at me with "rebounding = toughness" and consider yourself some kind of basketball scholar. Leave that (complete lack of) analysis for the hot takes on the radio.
 

BaseballJones

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It was 43-31 Washington per Yahoo.
My espn app has total team rebounds as 53-39 Washington. I consider a 12 (or 14) rebound margin to be getting crushed on the boards.

We're at the point in the thread where I feel more stupid every time I read it.

BJ, give it up, you don't know that much about this team or, it seems, the way basketball is being played in the modern NBA.
I coach HS basketball. I know that's not the NBA, obviously. But I'm pretty in touch with how the game is played today.

You sound like my friends who ignore the NBA completely until the Celtics are in the playoffs - which is totally fine.
No doubt that many here pay a lot closer attention to them than I do.

But you don't then also get to claim a special better knowledge than everyone else when you get called out for being wrong.
Agreed. Now, if only I'd actually have claimed "special better knowledge than everyone else". I'm just offering my opinions like everyone else here.

You take your damn lumps and move on. Anything else and it actually sounds like you'd rather cheer for being right than cheer for the team you are ostensibly a fan of. And that's lame.
That WOULD be lame! Fortunately, that's not what I'm doing.

And for God's sake, don't come at me with "rebounding = toughness" and consider yourself some kind of basketball scholar. Leave that (complete lack of) analysis for the hot takes on the radio.
Did you play or do you coach basketball? Toughness is definitely a part of rebounding. It's not all of it, of course, but it's definitely an aspect of it.

Look, I started the thread, and so it's fair game to come at me now that the Celtics have won two series. Fine. There were a lot of people who agreed with my general stance. So I'm not remotely the only one who saw these issues with the C's. And on the whole, I've still been right. They got killed by the Bulls until Rondo got hurt. They got mauled by the Wizards on the boards all series long, getting out rebounded by nearly 50 for the entire series. The Wizards' starting unit destroyed Boston's last night. Those last two points are things I worried about in my OP - opposing teams' top-tier talent and rebounding - and I was spot on with that. Thank God Olynyk had the game of his life and that the Celtics were at home (something they earned so kudos to them).

And by the way, it doesn't have to always be an either-or situation. I'm still right about the main concerns I have with the Celtics, and I'm still right (I think...we shall see though) about them not being built to win a championship. But I'm wrong in that they've done better than I thought they would, and their bench strength has proven to be sufficient to make up for their weaknesses, which I didn't necessarily expect would happen. It's possible to be partly right and partly wrong. It doesn't have to be an "all right" or "all wrong" kind of thing.
 

mt8thsw9th

anti-SoSHal
SoSH Member
Jul 17, 2005
17,120
Brooklyn
To save face, you should have to eat a log of your own shit after they made it through two rounds. For posterity (and for luck in the ECF).
 

Van Everyman

Member
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Apr 30, 2009
27,070
Newton
I never said they weren't tough. I talked about toughness in the context of them not being a good rebounding team, and lo and behold, they got crushed on the boards again tonight. They won by ten despite being -12 on the glass. That's actually not easy to do.
. And on the whole, I've still been right. They got killed by the Bulls until Rondo got hurt. They got mauled by the Wizards on the boards all series long, getting out rebounded by nearly 50 for the entire series. The Wizards' starting unit destroyed Boston's last night. Those last two points are things I worried about in my OP - opposing teams' top-tier talent and rebounding - and I was spot on with that. Thank God Olynyk had the game of his life and that the Celtics were at home (something they earned so kudos to them).
You were also wrong that they were built for the regular season. They've now won two series against two quality teams (the Bulls were clearly better than their record once healthy). They earned this 100%. Just because they haven't dominated every aspect of the game doesn't make what they've accomplished—best record in the conference, ECF appearance—any less impressive, which you seem to be suggesting.

And FWIW, no one is out there arguing that the Celtics are the most talented team in the NBA. No one. Even Stevens last night made clear that without KO going off that they probably don't win that game. So let's dispense with that particular straw man. No one thinks they are the "best" team in the NBA.

But they are unquestionably one of the best coached and deepest – which thus far I think accounts for more in the playoffs than you acknowledged in your OP. Rotations may get shorter but guys still can't play 48 minutes for 4-7 games. Wall was absolutely gassed by the 4th Q last night. That was the difference. And it was something that most of us were highlighting at the beginning of this series. And all things being equal, I don't think Brooks used his bench terribly effectively in this series, which contributed to their lack of depth. So score another one for Brad.

Lastly, I also think the C's are among the toughest teams in the NBA. They aren't losing the rebound battles because of toughness, I'm sorry. They're losing it because of their size (and possibly their scheme as a function of having IT but that's another story). This is one of the toughest teams in the league – IT, Smart, Crowder are all really *tough* players, physically and mentally, a quality that has been essential to their overperformance relative to their talent. Perhaps you're just being defensive which I get. But as a high school coach, I would expect you to appreciate what they're doing despite their shortcomings not bemoaning the shortcomings themselves.

So how about we adjust the title to reflect that they are built for the playoffs but that the jury on whether they are built for the championship is still out?
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

Member
SoSH Member
Mar 26, 2005
30,682
And by the way, it doesn't have to always be an either-or situation. I'm still right about the main concerns I have with the Celtics, and I'm still right (I think...we shall see though) about them not being built to win a championship. But I'm wrong in that they've done better than I thought they would, and their bench strength has proven to be sufficient to make up for their weaknesses, which I didn't necessarily expect would happen. It's possible to be partly right and partly wrong. It doesn't have to be an "all right" or "all wrong" kind of thing.
If you had started a thread saying that Cs weren't built to win a championship, it would have gotten like 5 posts, most of them being, "Well, you're correct that the Cs don't have LBJ, Durant, or Curry so they are not likely to win the championship this year."

It doesn't take much basketball knowledge to figure that out.

It's hard to find a guy who can lead a team to a championship. Even if a team has the #1 pick, they have to have the #1 pick in the correct year and they have to make the correct choice. DA has done everything he could to maximize his chances. He has three lottery shots; he has cap space; and he has moveable assets. The rest is luck. And we'll find out pretty shortly whether DA will have obtained the guy who can lead the Cs to a championship.
 

smastroyin

simpering whimperer
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Being "built" for something is different than level of talent.

I think there is a discussion to be had about getting more out of the talent in the regular season, or whether against equivalent talent they would have a more difficult time in the playoffs. I don't think it's that interesting to just say "well they aren't as good as teams with LeBron, Kawhi, or Steph." No-one's going to really argue against that point.

This is a classic goalpost move. You started from a place where you could argue that the team overachieved, and was actually not as good as the other East playoff teams. There's a discussion there. We can talk about whether Stevens system handicaps them when the rotations shorten and everyone is more interested in playing defense and clogging up passing lanes. Now they've won two playoff series and it's "I only meant championship level." That's BS and uninteresting. If you only care about watching the team when they are Championship favorites then you are a front runner bandwagon guy. If you only care about being the guy who tells fans who are actually excited that they have false hopes then you're kind of a self-important douche. It sucks to be called out when you are wrong, sure, but only you can decide how to take it. Given the mood last night, that you chose to go with "yeah but RONDO!! REBOUNDS!!!11!!" tells us something about the honesty with which you are approaching the discussion.
 

BaseballJones

ivanvamp
SoSH Member
Oct 1, 2015
24,616
You were also wrong that they were built for the regular season. They've now won two series against two quality teams (the Bulls were clearly better than their record once healthy). They earned this 100%. Just because they haven't dominated every aspect of the game doesn't make what they've accomplished—best record in the conference, ECF appearance—any less impressive, which you seem to be suggesting.
No, winning two series is awesome. It's hard to do that in the NBA. I do think they'd have been eliminated by the Bulls if Rondo hadn't gotten hurt, but he did get hurt, and the Celtics won, and then they beat the Wizards. That's really good. They've gotten further than I thought they would, even though they probably should have won these two series.

And FWIW, no one is out there arguing that the Celtics are the most talented team in the NBA. No one. Even Stevens last night made clear that without KO going off that they probably don't win that game. So let's dispense with that particular straw man. No one thinks they are the "best" team in the NBA.
Yeah, I never claimed anything regarding the C's being the most talented team. That's not even a straw man in my imagination. Never brought that up.

But they are unquestionably one of the best coached and deepest – which thus far I think accounts for more in the playoffs than you acknowledged in your OP.
Yes, I acknowledged their depth in the OP - I think that, and Stevens, are their biggest strengths. I thought it would be reduced as a strength by (1) the adjusted schedule in the playoffs, and (2) shortened rotations, which can happen because of the adjusted schedule - i.e., no back-to-backs. But the depth really showed up last night for sure in a big way.

Rotations may get shorter but guys still can't play 48 minutes for 4-7 games. Wall was absolutely gassed by the 4th Q last night. That was the difference. And it was something that most of us were highlighting at the beginning of this series. And all things being equal, I don't think Brooks used his bench terribly effectively in this series, which contributed to their lack of depth. So score another one for Brad.
Yep, agreed.

Lastly, I also think the C's are among the toughest teams in the NBA. They aren't losing the rebound battles because of toughness, I'm sorry. They're losing it because of their size (and possibly their scheme as a function of having IT but that's another story). This is one of the toughest teams in the league – IT, Smart, Crowder are all really *tough* players, physically and mentally, a quality that has been essential to their overperformance relative to their talent. Perhaps you're just being defensive which I get. But as a high school coach, I would expect you to appreciate what they're doing despite their shortcomings not bemoaning the shortcomings themselves.
Yeah, I really didn't do a good job in my OP with respect to toughness, and I can see why it looked like I was questioning their overall toughness as a team. I think Bradley is very tough. I think Crowder and Smart and even IT are really tough players. I was talking more about rebounding toughness - they have been murdered on the glass in the playoffs, that is undeniable - and I don't think it's just "scheme" or "size". I DO appreciate what they're doing, for sure. I think they've done a great job in the playoffs.

So how about we adjust the title to reflect that they are built for the playoffs but that the jury on whether they are built for the championship is still out?
I have no idea how to change a thread title, but yeah that's fine with me.

If you had started a thread saying that Cs weren't built to win a championship, it would have gotten like 5 posts, most of them being, "Well, you're correct that the Cs don't have LBJ, Durant, or Curry so they are not likely to win the championship this year."

It doesn't take much basketball knowledge to figure that out.

It's hard to find a guy who can lead a team to a championship. Even if a team has the #1 pick, they have to have the #1 pick in the correct year and they have to make the correct choice. DA has done everything he could to maximize his chances. He has three lottery shots; he has cap space; and he has moveable assets. The rest is luck. And we'll find out pretty shortly whether DA will have obtained the guy who can lead the Cs to a championship.
Yep, which is why I have stated that I think they need another superstar to get to that next level. I still hold that opinion.

Being "built" for something is different than level of talent.

I think there is a discussion to be had about getting more out of the talent in the regular season, or whether against equivalent talent they would have a more difficult time in the playoffs. I don't think it's that interesting to just say "well they aren't as good as teams with LeBron, Kawhi, or Steph." No-one's going to really argue against that point.

This is a classic goalpost move. You started from a place where you could argue that the team overachieved, and was actually not as good as the other East playoff teams. There's a discussion there. We can talk about whether Stevens system handicaps them when the rotations shorten and everyone is more interested in playing defense and clogging up passing lanes. Now they've won two playoff series and it's "I only meant championship level." That's BS and uninteresting. If you only care about watching the team when they are Championship favorites then you are a front runner bandwagon guy. If you only care about being the guy who tells fans who are actually excited that they have false hopes then you're kind of a self-important douche. It sucks to be called out when you are wrong, sure, but only you can decide how to take it. Given the mood last night, that you chose to go with "yeah but RONDO!! REBOUNDS!!!11!!" tells us something about the honesty with which you are approaching the discussion.
I'm not remotely being dishonest in this conversation. Nor am I being a douche. I'm trying to explain my point of view. I've acknowledged that they've performed better than I anticipated given how I see this team with its relative strengths and weaknesses. I've admitted that I didn't think their depth - a strength in the regular season - would play up as well in the playoffs for reasons given above, but it has. I was wrong about that. I'm not sure how many times I need to say that before people agree that I'm admitting to having been wrong on that level.

In the OP I talked about winning a championship, so that's not at all a goalpost move.

I don't understand why you guys have to see this as an "all right" or "all wrong" kind of deal. I think I'm partially right and partially wrong. I don't know how that's "dishonest" or "being a douche". I think that's a fair assessment. And I've LOVED being wrong on the points where I've been wrong. I'm THRILLED that the Celtics have gotten this far.

And by the way, I didn't start this conversation last night. Someone, after the game, instead of just enjoying the win, decided to go here, so it was appropriate for me to respond. That's not being douchy, at least I don't think it is.
 

Sam Ray Not

Member
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Jul 19, 2005
8,867
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Context: IT, Horford, Bradley and co. have now advanced farther than Chris Paul, Bernard King, George Gervin, Dominique Wilkins, Yao Ming (et al.) did in their NBA careers.

But if we're giving out cookies for observing that the Celtics' roster is probably not quite the caliber of the Cavs or Warriors, can I get a cookie for predicting that the Cavs and Ws would make it to their respective conference championships?
 

Hagios

New Member
Dec 15, 2007
672
I never said they weren't tough. I talked about toughness in the context of them not being a good rebounding team, and lo and behold, they got crushed on the boards again tonight. They won by ten despite being -12 on the glass. That's actually not easy to do.

I don't think they are top-end talented enough to win a championship. I will stand by that unless they somehow prove me wrong. I honestly think they would have lost to the Bulls if Rondo hadn't gotten hurt. We will never know, of course, but there are good reasons for thinking that way.

Since quite a few people agreed with me in this thread, I don't think my assessment was that far off base. At least, others saw the same issues I did.

I'm pumped they won two playoff series. Good work.
I think BaseballJones' point is essentially correct. The Celtics had the one seed and they were down 2-0 in their first series against the 8 seed, and won in 7 games in their second series, with every victory in that series coming at home. By contrast, the Cavs have the two seed and haven't lost a single game. And it seems to me the mostrealistic option for the conference finals is that the Celtics will lose in 5, give or take a game. If they go to 7 or win, then I was flat-out wrong.

I don't think being built for the regular season is a sign of a lack of character, toughness, grit or other intangibles. In fact, I'd suggest it's the opposite. The NBA season is way too long and most teams coast through large swaths of it. A well-coached team with a lot of heart will give 90% on nights when most teams only give 80%. But when the playoffs begin, every team is giving 100%.
 

tims4wins

PN23's replacement
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Jul 15, 2005
37,322
Hingham, MA
The premise that they were built for the regular season was based on the fact that their depth would wear down teams in the regular season, but come the playoffs, the stars would shine. These two series have shown it is the exact opposite. The Celts depth has won them both series. Wall and Beal played 45+ minutes last night but Wall was gassed come the 4th quarter. The Celts bench outscored Washington's bench 48-5. Nuff said.

And for the record, I thought they were built for the regular season too. I was wrong.
 

BaseballJones

ivanvamp
SoSH Member
Oct 1, 2015
24,616
The premise that they were built for the regular season was based on the fact that their depth would wear down teams in the regular season, but come the playoffs, the stars would shine. These two series have shown it is the exact opposite. The Celts depth has won them both series. Wall and Beal played 45+ minutes last night but Wall was gassed come the 4th quarter. The Celts bench outscored Washington's bench 48-5. Nuff said.

And for the record, I thought they were built for the regular season too. I was wrong.
Yeah, I was wrong about that too. Their depth has been way more effective a tool than I thought it would be.
 

Eddie Jurak

canderson-lite
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Dec 12, 2002
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The premise that they were built for the regular season was based on the fact that their depth would wear down teams in the regular season, but come the playoffs, the stars would shine. These two series have shown it is the exact opposite. The Celts depth has won them both series. Wall and Beal played 45+ minutes last night but Wall was gassed come the 4th quarter. The Celts bench outscored Washington's bench 48-5. Nuff said.

And for the record, I thought they were built for the regular season too. I was wrong.
Really good point. Part of the story in 2 key wins (games 2 & 7) was Wall and Beal dominant early but running out of steam late. Part of the story of the game 6 loss was the Celtics getting nothing from their bench.
 

#classicsquander

New Member
Jul 25, 2016
48
Lastly, I also think the C's are among the toughest teams in the NBA. They aren't losing the rebound battles because of toughness, I'm sorry. They're losing it because of their size (and possibly their scheme as a function of having IT but that's another story). This is one of the toughest teams in the league – IT, Smart, Crowder are all really *tough* players, physically and mentally, a quality that has been essential to their overperformance relative to their talent. Perhaps you're just being defensive which I get. But as a high school coach, I would expect you to appreciate what they're doing despite their shortcomings not bemoaning the shortcomings themselves.
I would tag this observation by pointing out that the 2009-2010 Celtics were 29th in the NBA in rebounding and I don't recall them being knocked for being soft. The difference was simply talent. The Championship team was 12th. I can't think of a Celtics team in the Ainge era that was a dominant rebounding team.