If Auburn finishes the season 11-2. Beatng Georgia, Bama, Georgia. In a row they are in. Most teams in contention don't have one win of that level, and they'd have 3 in 3 weeks..
You don't think Clemson is in with a win? I keep saying this, but coming into this week, the Playoff committee has them ranked higher than Oklahoma and Wisconsin. You think they are going to jump both of them over Clemson, even if Clemson wins next week and then find another team that has a recent loss and put them in too? I don't see it. If Clemson wins, they will get a chance to defend their title.
Alabama losing is a big problem for everybody who was hoping to sneak in, since they are better than anyone else. So, for example, the Ohio State path is probably much much narrower than it was a couple hours ago, if it exists at all. So if Oklahoma, Clemson, Wisconsin win then Alabama is out? I wonder.
I feel like that's pretty much dead on. I think if 2-3 of the top 4 lose next week, you may start to see a big groundswell for UCF if they remain undefeated.
If Ohio State gets in over Alabama I'll be shocked (in your scenario 3). I'd bet almost anything that doesn't happen.
I’d add that the ACC champ is in too, assuming a Clemson win tonight. Miami and Clemson have similar resumes to me (I know Auburn>ND, but not a HUGE difference) so I don’t understand how Clemson would be in for sure with a win but not the U.
I can't see Alabama not going in over TCU, Miami, Ohio State or the Pac-12 Champ but I guess we'll see. I'd laugh my ass off if they were left out but I believe they will be in the playoffs and the favorites to win.
If it comes down to those teams, I totally agree, Alabama is in. In fact, I think Alabama gets in if Oklahoma, Clemson or Wisconsin lose. I think the only way they get left out is if all three of those teams win, and obviously, the winner of Georgia/Auburn gets in with them.
I think they'd be favorites too. They've had a lot of injuries in November which will be cleared up by Jan 1
Washington lost to USC on November 12 last year, which it think was the latest loss of the three years for playoff teams.
It’s arrogance Saban thinks he win every game with a game manager at QB who doesn’t make mistakes. Run the ball, field position and the occasional deep pass when other team has 8 in the box. It’s like the modern passing game has passed Alabama, and the SEC in general, by
November 12th? So, they had to have won at least 2, if not 3, more games after that, including the PAC 12 championship. That's why I think Alabama is on the outside looking in right now. To lose your last game, and not get a chance to play in a conference championship. That's something the voters just don't overlook..
Ohio State also beat Penn State and will have beaten Wisconsin in this scenario. Alabama’s best win is either Mississippi State or LSU.
One of my life goals is to spend a Saturday watching college football with dotb. Man's a legend.
True but they're essentially the college version of the Patriots, in terms of results. So it's clearly working for them.
I mean, Alabama really had no way of knowing that FSU would be so shitty. That was a huge game coming into the year. Plus with Francois all year that might be looking like a really big win.
LSU
What does that have to do with anything? It's not a good-faith scheduling competition.
They were told by the committee that it was one of the data points, and it most likely kept TCU or Baylor out in 2014. Some years they make it seem like a big deal and some years they don't. Last year it didn't matter for PSU and they didn't get into the playoff even thought they won head to head (tOSU) and the conference championship game.
Hasn't that been used against teams all the time? 'If you want to get in, you shouldn't have scheduled all cupcake out of conference games.' There's nothing Alabama could have done about teams like FSU and LSU being down. Sure they don't have a huge win, but at the time that FSU win looked great.
I suppose it gets used by talking heads when power conference teams in fact schedule all cupcake out of conference games, but that doesn't actually make scheduling per se a determinative factor. And it's still not the same as expecting extra credit for scheduling a game that could have been tough, but wasn't. The harsh reality is that you'll be graded on the schedule you actually played, not the effort your athletic director put in.
I basically agree, simply because its Alabama. But, in a just world, I think Miami should be in over Bama if they beat Clemson. Both teams (Miami and Alabama) will have one loss, but Miami will be a major conference champion and have two wins (ND and Clemson) much better than any Alabama win. Miami was just a notch below Alabama in the rankings prior to this week. Beating the new consensus #1 team in the country in a conference championship game should be enough to get in.
Take Auburn off this list - Auburn or Georgia will be in no matter what happens.
That’s true. I’d argue that Clemson could be removed from the list, as well. I think the winner of the ACC Championship game is also a lock.
