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  1. themanwithoneredsock

    Who plays 1B next year?

    - guy signs massive contract - guy doesn't put in a lick of work to learn LF - guy is the worst player in baseball - guy throws in the towel and the team sends him home midseason - guy promises he's committed to learning 1b and coming into camp in better shape this year - guy shows up in the...
  2. themanwithoneredsock

    Who plays 1B next year?

    ah come on man. he's a kabillionaire. are you really spinning a story of him borrowing gloves? and why would any mlb player rely on borrowed gloves anyways? this is crazy. he obviously didn't put a lick of 1b work in this offseason.
  3. themanwithoneredsock

    Who plays 1B next year?

    I don't see why we shouldn't be annoyed. Hanley was the worst player in baseball last year, much of it due to a disastrous position change, and has a huge contract. How the heck can he come into camp and so casually indicate that he hasn't put even one lick of work into his move to 1B yet? he...
  4. themanwithoneredsock

    Xander and Mookie in 2016

    my quick and dirtier version.... If he drops down to a still excellent .332babip, without a skill change elsewhere, that is 40pts less of obp and 40pts less of slg which is 80pts less of ops.....which is significant. That would drop him down to around .700ops and around 85-90wrc+. which is...
  5. themanwithoneredsock

    Xander and Mookie in 2016

    I doubt we see any performance related decline from Mookie. I am interested to see what the positional adjustment for RF does to his defensive numbers, though. I'm not sure that we can expect enough of a defensive performance boost in fenway's RF to make up for the positional adjustment. As for...
  6. themanwithoneredsock

    Swihart v. Vazquez: The Value of Framing

    what's interesting is that there's a much better argument that their offense is more comparable than their defense. at same level and age only: MLB BS (23): 5.8bb%, 24.9k%, .359babip, .274avg, .118iso CV (23): 9.5bb%, 16.4k%, .283babip, .240avg, .069iso AAA BS (22-23): 5.3bb%, 19.2k%...
  7. themanwithoneredsock

    Swihart v. Vazquez: The Value of Framing

    this is backwards. if you are going to make up theories as to why certain ugly stats should be dismissed for your favorite young hometown player, the burden of proof is on you to substantiate it. Fact is Vazquez showed as a rookie that he can field the toughest position in baseball, and do it...
  8. themanwithoneredsock

    Swihart v. Vazquez: The Value of Framing

    http://www.baseballamerica.com/majors/expect-red-sox-c-blake-swihart/ "Behind the plate, Swihart has drawn praise for his athleticism andhas exhibited quick feet and a strong arm. But scouts say his pitch-calling is a work in progress." Farrell this spring: "He knows he is getting closer to...
  9. themanwithoneredsock

    Swihart v. Vazquez: The Value of Framing

    we knew from his scouting reports that his defense was a work in progress, to be generous. i think most of our eye tests confirmed that - not only did he have trouble receiving the ball, but more dissappointingly the one part of his defense we had expected to show plus (his pop times and arm...
  10. themanwithoneredsock

    Swihart v. Vazquez: The Value of Framing

    Well, he managed to put up the worst DRS (-9) of any catcher in baseball....in only half a season. That's not good. And that doesn't include game management, which most everybody admits he needs work on.
  11. themanwithoneredsock

    Dombrowski: SP likely from FA. Which should we sign?

    I think over-relying on FIP skews things sometimes. It's nice to balance the weaknesses of fipWAR with ra9WAR, imo. Previous 3yrs average fipwar and ra9war: Leake (28): 2.4, 2.6, 2.7 Porcello (26): 3.0, 2.5, 1.9 Samardzija (31): 1.9, 4.1, 1.9
  12. themanwithoneredsock

    Swihart v. Vazquez: The Value of Framing

    Swihart was flat out bad defensively as a rook, though, and while scouts have always talked about his defensive raw tools they've mostly always admitted he has yet to be very good defensively or in game calling yet. I have to say i've always been a bit flummoxed by Swihart's prospect rankings...
  13. themanwithoneredsock

    Swihart v. Vazquez: The Value of Framing

    for the record those BP framing stats should be the standard imo - they take into account all 3 of the catcher, pitcher, and ump to get rid of a ton of noise in the other stats.
  14. themanwithoneredsock

    What Type Of Red Sox Team Makes You Happy In The Pants?

    yeah we had plenty of guys with legit allstar potential, but nobody I would have bet on. (As for Ort, he was 39yrs old and has been outhit by Vmart, EE, and Cruz in 2014.)
  15. themanwithoneredsock

    What Type Of Red Sox Team Makes You Happy In The Pants?

    I am glad we signed price. I would have been happy to sign Scherzer. or Heyward. or Miller. or Robertson. I would have preferred to sign lester and ellsbury instead of porcello and ramirez, even if those two weren't quite the dependably elite players i'd want to target in general - at least we...
  16. themanwithoneredsock

    Swihart v. Vazquez: The Value of Framing

    pitch framing is nice but there's a chance concentrating too much on it might make us underrate even harder to pin down skills such as "gamecalling".
  17. themanwithoneredsock

    What Type Of Red Sox Team Makes You Happy In The Pants?

    not one of our guys projected to be top-3 at his position, or a top 5 sp or rp, so no. holt being our only allstar was not much of a surprise to me.
  18. themanwithoneredsock

    What Type Of Red Sox Team Makes You Happy In The Pants?

    Team I like to see is: 1. Legit elite proven vets on market contracts. We're the red sox, we can afford to pay stars star money. 2. Cheap depth coming from a great system and clever cheapo free agent/trade pickups. That's the team I like to see. The team of the last couple years - with no...
  19. themanwithoneredsock

    Making History: Panda and Hanley just had the 2nd and 3rd worst first seasons in free agency history

    one thing we can't forget is that Panda is really a strict platoon player at this point. 21wrc+ vLHP last year, 43wrc+ last 2yrs, 61wrc+ last 3yrs. Any hope for a bounceback has to take that into account.
  20. themanwithoneredsock

    Swihart v. Vazquez: The Value of Framing

    Rookie Year: Swihart (23): 309pa, 1.5fwar, 0.4bwar, 1.0avg, 1.4avg/450pa Vazquez (23): 201pa, 0.6fwar, 1.1bwar, 0.9avg, 1.9avg/450pa Steamer600 for 2016 Swihart: 450pa, 1.7war Vazquez: 450pa, 2.2war That doesn't even include pitch framing. and iirc Swihart's first ~200pa were no better than...