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  1. Frisbetarian

    What to do with Yoshida?

    I agree you have to keep running Yoshida out there for now, but his numbers since July 25 of last year are pretty anemic. In that span, totaling 271 PA, Yoshida is hitting .229 with a .262 OBP and .326 SLG for an OPS of.588. He has just 4 home runs with 11 walks and 48 Ks in that stretch. FWIW...
  2. Frisbetarian

    March/April: Red Sox discussion, observations and trend tracking...AKA It's not all about the Benjamins

    The Red Sox have actually allowed 15 (per Fangraphs) or 16 (per BR) unearned runs in 13 games, which equates to 32% or 34% of their runs allowed being unearned. FWIW, the MLB team average this year is 6 unearned runs and 10% of total runs. I'll try to find time to run the last 10 years to see...
  3. Frisbetarian

    23-24 Bruins Season Thread

    With the caveat that I’m not sure how accurate this data is, what sticks out to me is that Jake Debrusk went from 23.23 MPH in 2022-23 which was 92nd percentile, to 22.15 this season, which is below 50th percentile. He still has bursts, but apparently not as consistently. I have no inside info...
  4. Frisbetarian

    Year Two Yoshida

    Great find. I have to imagine other teams saw that as well.
  5. Frisbetarian

    Year Two Yoshida

    Thanks
  6. Frisbetarian

    Year Two Yoshida

    Interesting article. Thanks for sharing. I’m not in a position to go into any kind of analytical depth (I’m in a small Mexican town with sketchy internet), but one thing did stand out to me in the article. Even when Yoshida was doing well last year, pre 7/1 when his swing and chase rates were...
  7. Frisbetarian

    Offseason rumors

    Please continue to post.
  8. Frisbetarian

    Pats select Western Kentucky QB Bailey Zappe at 137

    Per Statmuse, Zappe had the 10th lowest single game QBR of quarterbacks with over 25 pass attempts in NFL history today (1.8). It was arguably the worst of all time, since the other quarterbacks all did this at least 19 years ago, and the game has changed appreciably. Including sacks, the...
  9. Frisbetarian

    Year Two Yoshida

    The bolded is misleading. Yoshida was 30th out of just 57 qualified AL batters, so slightly below average for qualified hitters. Fwiw, he was 49th of those 57 in fWAR. I'm not sure why people are assuming Yoshida will improve at the plate or in the field this season. Isn’t it just as likely the...
  10. Frisbetarian

    Thank You Chris Sale

    Chris Sale has a 1 - 3 record and 6.35 ERA in the postseason for his career. That of course includes his “non-diminished” years. Kershaw is 13 - 13 with a 4.49 ERA. An aside, but Sale was a non factor in the 2018 playoffs. He was 6th on the team in innings pitched because, like every year, his...
  11. Frisbetarian

    Thank You Chris Sale

    Interesting fact. Kopech (4.5) and Moncada (14.4) have combined for a higher bWAR (18.9) than Sale (17.1) since the trade. And Kopech and Moncada did it for a combined salary of ~$45 million vs Sale at ~$114 million.
  12. Frisbetarian

    23-24 Bruins Season Thread

    Pretty close, but there were a lot more expletives from what I heard. Cam was very inventive with profanity.
  13. Frisbetarian

    23-24 Bruins Season Thread

    Absolutely correct. Bergeron's OZS percentage went from just under 40% under Claude to over 60% under Butch (with some gentle suggestions from the analytics staff).
  14. Frisbetarian

    23-24 Bruins Season Thread

    I’m not sure faceoffs are overrated, but they are certainly not the be all end all. I did a study a few years back for the team looking at like 10 years of faceoff data, maybe 750,000 faceoffs. Please indulge me while I relate the following kinda cool story that discusses the value of faceoffs...
  15. Frisbetarian

    Shohei Ohtani is an LA Dodger: 10 years/$700 million

    Approximately 1 out of 1600. I agree.
  16. Frisbetarian

    Shohei Ohtani is an LA Dodger: 10 years/$700 million

    Short series are effectively a crapshoot for the most part. Statistically a 97 win team playing an 81 win team will lose ~3 of every 10 times in a 7 game series. That does change, however, with “great” teams. A 110 win team playing an 81 win team would be expected to win around 7 of 8 times in a...
  17. Frisbetarian

    11/20 Celtics vs. Hornets: Where is Thy Sting?

    Miss 10 free throws and allow 17 offensive rebounds and you don’t win many games. Also, Derek White is criminally underrated.
  18. Frisbetarian

    Who do YOU want Pats to end up with in draft?

    Interesting. Your estimate was eerily accurate then. Sans future discount your suggested draft picks for the #2 pick had a total value of 2646 vs the second pick value of 2600. Nicely done, hermano.
  19. Frisbetarian

    Who do YOU want Pats to end up with in draft?

    I don’t think there’s any way Chicago makes that trade. I sure wouldn’t if I was them. Per draft value charts, the #2 pick is worth 2600, #35 is 550, and #67 is 256. Future picks are generally assumed to be mid round, and they are discounted pretty severely (up to 50% or one round back), so a...
  20. Frisbetarian

    This is now: BB and the direction of the Patriots

    FWIW, Brady’s average yards per attempt his first 3 seasons starting with the Patriots was 6.4. For the rest of his Patriots career he was over 7.9.