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    Mookie Betts appreciation thread

    Hey Pitt, appreciate all the effort.. I think projecting Mookie for 36.0 WAR between 26-29 could be a tad optimistic, especially considering potential injury. Since 2000, only one player has reached that mark in their age 26-29 seasons: Pujols racked up 36.2 WAR over that period, per...
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    Building a Bullpen, 2019 edition

    Cody Allen seems like a good buy low candidate this offseason. He had pretty bad command issues this past year (4.43 BB/9, 1.48 HR/9), but those are WAY beyond off his career and 3-year averages. He's only 30 and has still got FB velocity. People are predicting 2-3 years at $9m/year, which seems...
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    Can The Red Sox Survive Their Starting Rotation?

      Was just noticing the same gap. As of this morning, the Red Sox have a team 4.92 ERA, tied for dead last in the Majors, but their 3.93 xFIP would place them 16th. The starters have an ERA of 5.52, worst in baseball, and an xFIP of 3.88 (tied for 15th).   Bringing in all those ground ball...
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    Beyond Lester: Building a Rotation

    Okay, now I understand the problem a bit. I'm sorry if my language was not clear. What I meant by "that's what happened" is simply that even starting the season with those 5, that was the result. I was not attributing the result to their performance only. I am fully acknowledging that the season...
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    Beyond Lester: Building a Rotation

      Um, I conceded that point way back. It's more of an apparent inability to read that I think.
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    Beyond Lester: Building a Rotation

    Is it unfair to compare 2014 and 2015 projections?
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    Beyond Lester: Building a Rotation

    Sorry but I beg to differ. As I mentioned above, you're right that those numbers aren't really a fair representation of what that Opening Day rotation could do. But in fact, it is what happened with that starting five. Now we are looking at a top five which are worse than those guys. Is it...
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    Beyond Lester: Building a Rotation

    Savin Hillbilly, I fully agree that the combined starting staff numbers don't reflect the performances of just the Opening Day rotation, and that all the trades affected those numbers, sure. But that was not the main point I was trying to make.   In the offseason, all you can do is line up your...
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    Beyond Lester: Building a Rotation

    FWIW, here are the Steamer projections for last year's opening day rotation compared with what we have in house now.   2014 Age IP K/9 BB/9 ERA WAR   2015 Age IP K/9 BB/9 ERA WAR Lester 30 192 7.3 2.9 4.00 3.1   Porcello 26 192 6.2 2.2 3.99 3.1 Lackey 35 189 7.1...
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    Who's Your choice for Sox Top of the Rotation Ace?

    Here is a summary table for most of the names we've been talking about here:   Name Lg IP K/9 BB/9 ERA FIP Lester AL 213 7.9 2.6 3.65 3.49 Scherzer AL 207 10.5 2.6 3.24 2.94 Shields AL 228 7.9 2.2 3.29 3.51 Hamels NL 213 8.7 2.3 3.05 3.21 Zimmermann NL 203...
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    Phillies will look to trade Cole Hamels, Red Sox interested

    So what is the consensus then? Getting Hamels would cost Owens and Bradley Jr./Betts plus one piece? Looking at that plus Hamels' 5/$114M to me doesn't seem very appealing, though seems like Bradley Jr. or Betts is destined to be trade fodder, with Rusney on board. I'd be willing if we could...
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    Who's Your choice for Sox Top of the Rotation Ace?

    Out of the names I've heard, I like Jordan Zimmerman the best. But will the Nats really deal him, given they just traded Detwiler to the Rangers and they've got a lot of pitchers leaving after this season?   Anyone heard about whether Yovani Gallardo might be available? He's got only one year...
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