MLB investigating Padres Over Pomeranz Trade

Van Everyman

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I talked about this above. The problem with reversing the trade at the time this was all discovered is that it would have put the Sox in an untenable position – they still needed a starter and every other team would've demanded Espinoza as a starting point in negotiations. After the season is really the only thing that makes sense. That said it's extremely unlikely to happen.
 

The Gray Eagle

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There is no way MLB could allow that. Pomeranz could slip walking into the dugout tomorrow and get a serious injury. Then everything turns into even more of a shitshow. The time to talk to MLB about reversing the trade or doing something different was when it was first discovered. I'm thinking there had to be some kind of discussion with MLB about the Sox's options when this was first reported.
It already is a shitshow. Pomerantz could blow out his already injured arm that they lied about tomorrow too. There was no way the Red Sox could ask to have the trade revoked in August, the trade deadline had passed and we were in a pennant race.

The punishment for the Padres should be for the Red Sox to have the option after the season to have the trade cancelled. If that results in a loss of value to the Padres, then that is their own fault for lying about injuries. It would be a good message for any other teams thinking about pulling this crap. If you lie and get caught, it could blow up in your faces.

Compared to the current "punishment" of getting to keep the players you fraudulently acquired and also not having to pay your GM's salary for a month.
 

YTF

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What about the Sox getting AE back, with the teams agreeing on another piece going to San Diego in his place? No chance that happens, but does that sound outlandish and I'm being crazy?
At this point, yes. The Sox are tossing him out there every fifth day (more or less), yes? At what point do the Sox become responsible if Pomeranz is injured while the Sox knowingly put him out there with suspicions as to the info they were given. Sox get nothing, but SD should be punished more severely IMO.
 
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JohntheBaptist

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At this point, yes. The Sox are tossing him out there every fifth day (more or less), yes? At what point do the Sox become responsible if Pomeranz is injured while the Sox knowingly put him out there with suspicions as to the info they were given. Sox get nothing, but SD should be punished more severely IMO.
This makes sense I think. Thanks for the reply.
 

jon abbey

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To be clear, the trade was on July 14, not July 31. This thread starts on August 5 with an Olney column, which says that "the Red Sox are not seeking remedy or an alteration of their deal for Pomeranz.", so chances are good (not definite) that Dombrowski had the chance to cancel the deal with time still to go before the deadline to make a deal, if possible, and he decided that he wouldn't be able to do better than Pomeranz, even with the added medical knowledge.
 

rguilmar

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I'm not sure the Sox are in a position to ask or receive much after reading this. Seems like the Sox were aware of the injury prior to making the trade, and pulled the trigger regardless. Even if San Diego was dishonest in their record-keeping of the injury, the Sox were aware of it and made the trade anyways. The argument that Boston did not know what it was getting and therefore deserves compensation doesn't seem to work here. Should San Diego be punished for lying? Yes, and more severely. Should the Sox get anything more because of injury they were aware of? Doubtful at best.
 

Rasputin

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The "teams agreeing" would obviously be after it was determined that the Padres would be forced to do so as per a punishment, ie, "agree" because the replacement player wouldn't be determined for them, but "agreed" to once that was determined to be the punitive action.
So something other than what you asked.

Gotcha.

Because you were in on every phone call between the two teams? I'll speculate as strongly as the next guy, but running your mouth in a forum as if you know it as absolute fact is next level arrogance.
It was reported in the papers and links posted here. Either that or it was in one of Alex Speier's e-mails, which you should be reading.

I largely agree with you but, like everything else in baseball and life, it is never this absolute and part of JtB's point.
Okay, the Commissioner says the Padres have to rework the trade. The Padres say there is no combination of Sox prospects they want that isn't Anderson Espinoza and they'd just as soon have Pomeranz back. The Sox say fuck that they want to keep Pomeranz. The Commissioner does what?

He lets the trade stand as is and people who want to get things for their team and punish other teams for being mean get to whine about it online.

There are a lot of ways to punish the Padres for this, some of them that actually give the Sox something, but reworking the trade doesn't work because both sides wanted the trade this way.

I mean, seriously, whining because someone else didn't get punished is what eight year olds do. The offense was small. The Sox people who have seen the actual medical details are fine with it. There's just no there here.
 

CSteinhardt

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Okay, the Commissioner says the Padres have to rework the trade. The Padres say there is no combination of Sox prospects they want that isn't Anderson Espinoza and they'd just as soon have Pomeranz back. The Sox say fuck that they want to keep Pomeranz. The Commissioner does what?
I'd think the right way to handle it would be more like this:

Commissioner tells the Padres that they have two choices: either they lose something substantial directly to the league and Boston gets no compensation (e.g., a first round pick is forfeited) or they can rework the trade to Boston's satisfaction, in which case whatever amount they give Boston to make them whole is considered just compensation and they keep the pick.

Most likely outcome would be that a deal is reached in which the Padres lose something of lower value than a first rounder and the Sox are satisfied, but if the Padres really want to dig in or if Boston demands ridiculous restructuring, then there's a clear alternative in which both sides stand worse.
 

Gubanich Plague

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I'm still waiting for the findings from MLB's investigation of the other trades, particularly Colin Rea http://m.mlb.com/news/article/193008810/injured-pitcher-colin-rea-returns-to-padres/ I haven't looked very hard for an update, but this article raises suspicions; Rea suffered an elbow injury in his first start with the Marlins, and Preller insisted that Rea was completely healthy when traded, but very quickly too him back.

Depending on what MLB finds, this case may dwarf the Pomeranz trade in terms of covering up medical info.
 

Fred in Lynn

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I think defining the degree of harm is pretty tough if the Sox are unwilling to reverse the trade and are determined to keep the player. Quantifying the lost opportunity cost is also tough. I suspect the Red Sox discovered the issue shortly after Pomeranz reported. If so, how much is a few days of opportunity cost worth? Why not reverse the trade and come up with a new agreement? I think the answer is that the Sox didn't want to risk losing Pomeranz, and while pissed off, the value didn't change much for them at all.

If the Padres gave up a player of their choice outside their top 30 to the Sox, would that be fair? And would the Sox even want it? Somehow I doubt it.
I agree it would be difficult to exactly quantify what the Sox lost, if not impossible because of all the variables and uncertainties. I also think it's entirely beside the point. I believe one good option is to force the parties, if they can be convinced, to negotiate a settlement. If they can't, the arbitrate. Throwing up their hands and saying "too hard" seems weak to me. Settlements rarely leave both parties pleased, but it provides a resolution. The Preller suspension is like (danger: analogy alert) having a neighbor kid throw a rock through your window and being told that the remedy for you is that he will have his XBox taken away for a month. If the suspension is MLB's final act, then I think they shit the bed (again, the caveat would be that they already approached the Sox after the investigation and suspension, and the Sox told them they will not be pursuing it anymore - the latter of which would be bothersome to me as a fan of the club but that's a different subject).

I have no earthly idea what any hypothetical compensation should be and would leave that to someone smarter to figure out. Espinoza and $14B? A fruit basket? Something in between? It would be a shame, however, if the affected parties weren't allowed the option to seek compensation after MLB's investigation was (is?) complete.
 

YTF

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I'd think the right way to handle it would be more like this:

Commissioner tells the Padres that they have two choices: either they lose something substantial directly to the league and Boston gets no compensation (e.g., a first round pick is forfeited) or they can rework the trade to Boston's satisfaction, in which case whatever amount they give Boston to make them whole is considered just compensation and they keep the pick.

Most likely outcome would be that a deal is reached in which the Padres lose something of lower value than a first rounder and the Sox are satisfied, but if the Padres really want to dig in or if Boston demands ridiculous restructuring, then there's a clear alternative in which both sides stand worse.
Why give the Padres any choice in their punishment? Collect ALL info in EVERY transaction since this policy of separate books has been in place, weigh it all as a whole and punish them accordingly.
 

EvilEmpire

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Isn't this discussion moot, and academic at best? I thought MLB ruled that the Sox/Padres issue was closed.
I read something yesterday saying it was a closed issue for the Sox portion of this and that MLB would have no further comment.
 

threecy

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From a public perspective, the Red Sox have to be very careful not to look unsatisfied with Pomeranz...it'd certainly be detrimental to the team and their new pitcher if they broadcast that they were unhappy with what they received.

It would be interesting to see if the Red Sox are actually not pushing for something behind the scenes.
 

bankshot1

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From a public perspective, the Red Sox have to be very careful not to look unsatisfied with Pomeranz...it'd certainly be detrimental to the team and their new pitcher if they broadcast that they were unhappy with what they received.

It would be interesting to see if the Red Sox are actually not pushing for something behind the scenes.
As to your last point, I think they did, and were denied.

IMO (wholly unsubstantiated) Sox played this with "two books" (heh) one for public consumption (DD's public comments) and private comments to MLB ripping the Padres to shit hoping for just compensation.

IMO2 if DD is part of the GM's good old boy network, Preller will be pushed out of the game, as he should be.
 

JohntheBaptist

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So something other than what you asked.

Gotcha.
Nope. Just an obvious interpretation of what I asked. I didn't think I had to walk everyone through what was obvious--its a punishment, obviously, so I said "agreed to" because the teams, and not MLB, would ultimately be told to negotiate a player to replace AE. I'll say it again--it doesn't matter what the Padres want at the point that decision is made, which is pretty clear from what I wrote. You're right though, it is possible to take what I wrote in such a way as to produce the long-winded snarky responses you're giving that clearly miss the point, so acknowledging you do roam these halls I should probably have made that even more airtight. But I didn't, and boy isn't this fun?

Commissioner: "We've decided the compensation you received for Pomeranz needs to be 'docked.' AE goes back to Boston, you guys decide who the replacement player is."

They both proceed with that directive, or MLB appoints a mediator.

As I said in my first post on the subject, I don't think it would happen, and as I said in earlier posts in this thread, I don't think this is nearly a big deal. I was curious to spitball an idea. YTF and rguilmar made some good points on why it wouldn't work without missing the point or being catty about it which was interesting to read, appreciated, and exactly what I was looking for.

I mean, seriously, whining because someone else didn't get punished is what eight year olds do. The offense was small. The Sox people who have seen the actual medical details are fine with it. There's just no there here.
Not every post is a springboard for your Online Baseball Genius persona, Ras. It was just someone floating an idea and curious for some responses. Yours was pretty easy to dismiss because it didn't make sense. It happens. No one's whining. I truly couldn't care less what ultimately happens, as is abundantly clear from everything I've written in this thread.

Anyway, moving on.
 
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SpaceMan37

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Preller will get axed for this, it's a matter of time. No one will do business with him anymore.
Well, teams need good players. If no one deals with Preller, at some point they will when he wants to trade someone decent and the price gets low enough.
 

JimD

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Well, teams need good players. If no one deals with Preller, at some point they will when he wants to trade someone decent and the price gets low enough.
Being forced to only make trades when you sell low is not a viable long-term strategy for success.
 

InsideTheParker

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When even the guys on ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball are wondering why there hasn't been more punishment for the Padres for the medicals shenanigans, you have to wonder if opinion might be building that a slap on Preller's wrist is insufficient to compensate the Sox for his misdeeds.
 

AZBlue

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"Growing up in Rome, New York, Rob Manfred was a fan of the New York Yankees: (from his Wiki page).

I am SURE that none of his passion for the Yankees was a factor in his decision to wrist slap the Padres for withholding medical information (which was a repeat offense) or the boulder that he dropped on the Red Sox for Boston's player packaging deal in Venezuela that was not substantially different from what other teams have done for two decades. No bearing at all.
 

EvilEmpire

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"Growing up in Rome, New York, Rob Manfred was a fan of the New York Yankees: (from his Wiki page).

I am SURE that none of his passion for the Yankees was a factor in his decision to wrist slap the Padres for withholding medical information (which was a repeat offense) or the boulder that he dropped on the Red Sox for Boston's player packaging deal in Venezuela that was not substantially different from what other teams have done for two decades. No bearing at all.
Might be best to move this to the quarantine area in BBtL before the contagion spreads.
 

Savin Hillbilly

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When even the guys on ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball are wondering why there hasn't been more punishment for the Padres for the medicals shenanigans, you have to wonder if opinion might be building that a slap on Preller's wrist is insufficient to compensate the Sox for his misdeeds.
"Sufficient punishment" and "sufficient compensation" are separate questions, though. I think the Sox deserve more compensation than most non-Sox fans seem to, which I guess just means I'm a fan and therefore FOS as all fans are. But regardless, you could easily give the Padres a harsher punishment without specifically benefiting the Sox at all.
 

ifmanis5

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When even the guys on ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball are wondering why there hasn't been more punishment for the Padres for the medicals shenanigans, you have to wonder if opinion might be building that a slap on Preller's wrist is insufficient to compensate the Sox for his misdeeds.
Not Aaron Boone. He was concerned about new and more paperwork. What a dick.
 

SpaceMan37

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If the Red Sox were to try to trade Pomeranz this winter, his value would almost assuredly be lower than they believed when they traded for him, even with adjusting for disappointing performance since the trade. And I wouldn't be surprised if the sore arm has something to do with his performance either.

That they get no compensation for that is absurd and it sounds like much of MLB feels the same from hearing some comments.
 

rmaher

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Summary:

Gregg Zaun thinks that since used car salesmen often withhold information that the potential buyer would want to know, MLB GMs should do the same and they should not be held to a higher standard. Also, he thinks the information that was withheld is probably about how often the players clipped their fingernails or went into the hot tub. Because he's sure the guy who just got caught falsifying records would never actually lie about anything important.

Edit to add: Gregg Zaun seems like a real douche so out of curiosity I looked up some other things that he thinks. He also thinks that one problem with baseball is that there's not enough hazing anymore.
 
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Tyrone Biggums

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GHreg Zaun with a minority opinion.

His opinion is all well and good and he's entitled to it. But the problem is that he's assuming that the Padres documented the major issues and just didn't send the Red Sox and Marlins the file that included Asprin and hang nails. I believe that if this was the case no one would care.
 

EvilEmpire

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His opinion is all well and good and he's entitled to it. But the problem is that he's assuming that the Padres documented the major issues and just didn't send the Red Sox and Marlins the file that included Asprin and hang nails. I believe that if this was the case no one would care.
Actually, I think the MLB punishment specific to the Red Sox portion sort of implies it. I think we'll get a better idea when we see what happens with the infractions involving other teams.
 

Plympton91

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Well. That clears up one part of the postseason roster. Given how well other options are performing, just shut him down and see you in spring training Drew.
 

DrBoston

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Seeing as Drew is now hurt and may not even pitch in the playoffs, clearly this trade hasn't helped the Sox the way they thought it would. Am I off-base in thinking that there's no way MLB won't punish SD more and have them compensate Boston in some additional manner? I mean, they have to, right?
 

Papelbon's Poutine

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Seeing as Drew is now hurt and may not even pitch in the playoffs, clearly this trade hasn't helped the Sox the way they thought it would. Am I off-base in thinking that there's no way MLB won't punish SD more and have them compensate Boston in some additional manner? I mean, they have to, right?
They thought it would help them win the division. It did. Unless you have an option for who would have taken his turns in the rotation, that is.
 

Red(s)HawksFan

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Seeing as Drew is now hurt and may not even pitch in the playoffs, clearly this trade hasn't helped the Sox the way they thought it would. Am I off-base in thinking that there's no way MLB won't punish SD more and have them compensate Boston in some additional manner? I mean, they have to, right?
There's no indication that he won't pitch in the playoffs. The current plan is to get him into a game in relief this weekend and go from there. That is most likely what would be happening even without the injury.

There's also no indication that his current malady is in any way related to whatever it was that the Padres failed to disclose, and that it may have happened even if the trade and everything surrounding it were 100% on the up and up.

MLB has already said that the matter is closed with regard to the Red Sox and the Pomeranz trade. There's probably a 0.00001% chance that they re-open the case.
 

DrBoston

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They thought it would help them win the division. It did. Unless you have an option for who would have taken his turns in the rotation, that is.
Oh, totally agree. What I was trying to get at (and failed, clearly) is that he's now a big question mark heading into the playoffs, which can't make the Sox too happy knowing what they do about SD's shenanigans.

There's no indication that he won't pitch in the playoffs. The current plan is to get him into a game in relief this weekend and go from there. That is most likely what would be happening even without the injury.

There's also no indication that his current malady is in any way related to whatever it was that the Padres failed to disclose, and that it may have happened even if the trade and everything surrounding it were 100% on the up and up.

MLB has already said that the matter is closed with regard to the Red Sox and the Pomeranz trade. There's probably a 0.00001% chance that they re-open the case.
True, he *did* surpass his career high in innings this season. I guess while it can't be conclusively stated that the undisclosed SD "injury" (or whatever it is) is the cause for the soreness, it also can't be ruled out.
 

SpaceMan37

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They thought it would help them win the division. It did. Unless you have an option for who would have taken his turns in the rotation, that is.
That has nothing to do with the price they paid, which is likely more than they would have given up with full disclosure.
 

Red(s)HawksFan

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That has nothing to do with the price they paid, which is likely more than they would have given up with full disclosure.
This assumes that "full disclosure" would have actually made Pomeranz tainted goods in some way. I mean, if it turns out all the Padres "hid" about Pomeranz is he takes 400mg of Aleve every day and the Red Sox usually prefer players take Tylenol (just to make up a dramatically simplistic hypothetical), does that really diminish his value?

I know that everyone is upset that they gave up Espinoza in a deal related to something the league saw fit to punish the Padres over, but the league saw no need to compensate the Red Sox so perhaps, just maybe, there was no real harm done to the Red Sox in the long run. That even with full disclosure, the price, and the Red Sox willingness to pay it, wouldn't have changed a bit.
 

DrBoston

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This assumes that "full disclosure" would have actually made Pomeranz tainted goods in some way. I mean, if it turns out all the Padres "hid" about Pomeranz is he takes 400mg of Aleve every day and the Red Sox usually prefer players take Tylenol (just to make up a dramatically simplistic hypothetical), does that really diminish his value?

I know that everyone is upset that they gave up Espinoza in a deal related to something the league saw fit to punish the Padres over, but the league saw no need to compensate the Red Sox so perhaps, just maybe, there was no real harm done to the Red Sox in the long run. That even with full disclosure, the price, and the Red Sox willingness to pay it, wouldn't have changed a bit.
I agree...I guess we'll just never know if his arm soreness now is just due to how many innings he's pitched or if it's stemming from something the Padres didn't disclose prior to the trade deadline. Taking an anti-inflammatory every day prior to the trade certainly sounds like he already had something going on in his arm, but we don't know for sure.
 

SpaceMan37

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This assumes that "full disclosure" would have actually made Pomeranz tainted goods in some way. I mean, if it turns out all the Padres "hid" about Pomeranz is he takes 400mg of Aleve every day and the Red Sox usually prefer players take Tylenol (just to make up a dramatically simplistic hypothetical), does that really diminish his value?

I know that everyone is upset that they gave up Espinoza in a deal related to something the league saw fit to punish the Padres over, but the league saw no need to compensate the Red Sox so perhaps, just maybe, there was no real harm done to the Red Sox in the long run. That even with full disclosure, the price, and the Red Sox willingness to pay it, wouldn't have changed a bit.
I'd put my money on it being Toradol that Pomeranz was taking. The Red Sox are not big fans of it after it put Buchholz in the hospital with internal bleeding. But it's still used by many despite it being so dangerous.

http://www.espn.com/boston/mlb/story/_/id/8938795/jon-lester-says-boston-red-sox-reviewing-toradol-policy

Full disclosure - this is just a guess.
 

JimD

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The time to raise a stink about the trade was as soon as the Red Sox learned about the medical issue, not at the end of the season after they decided to blow past his highest previous season innings total.

The duplicate medical reporting system in San Diego is concerning, sure, but Pomeranz was not without other question marks based on his history. Acquiring him was very much a speculative play on Dombrowski's part with multi-year implications. Is it really that surprising that a guy who went from starting to relieving and now back to starting and who was bumping up against his previous inning limit was inconsistent during the second half and now has a sore arm?
 

johnnywayback

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They thought it would help them win the division. It did. Unless you have an option for who would have taken his turns in the rotation, that is.
Sure, but they paid a premium to get a guy who would be a) good enough to displace our 4th-best starter as part of our playoff rotation and b) on a long-enough contract to plan on him being part of the rotation beyond 2016. And even at the time, people worried aloud that Pomeranz's innings and injury history, respectively, made each of those a risky proposition. I can't imagine that knowing he was being treated for elbow pain wouldn't have exacerbated those concerns and made paying the premium an even worse idea.

Bottom line: The Red Sox did not get what they paid for. Determining how much of that is because the Padres cheated the system and how much is because Dombrowski took a bad risk relies on information we don't have.