Are the 2015-2016 Celtics better or worse than the 2014-2015 Celtics?

tims4wins

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Jul 15, 2005
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538 has them at 97% to make the playoffs and 2% to win the title. Really hard to believe given where they have come from.
 

chilidawg

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Jan 22, 2015
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Shooting has been much better of late, team 3pt is up to 33.4%, 24th in the league. Offensive efficiency up to 102.7 per 100, 13th in the league. Still 2nd in Deff. KO and Jerebko both shooting 44% from 3.
 

BaseballJones

ivanvamp
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Oct 1, 2015
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They're 6th in the East right now, but that last loss to Orlando put them there. They'd have been in 3rd without that loss.

Their point differential is +4.1, good for 3rd in the East and 6th in the entire NBA.
 

BaseballJones

ivanvamp
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Oct 1, 2015
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They're 6th in the East right now, but that last loss to Orlando put them there. They'd have been in 3rd without that loss.

Their point differential is +4.1, good for 3rd in the East and 6th in the entire NBA.
 

chilidawg

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Jan 22, 2015
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Back to 3rd again, although it is almost a 4 way tie for 3-6. Tonight's game will be a good test, I'm feeling bullish on the team right now.

538 is projecting us to 48 wins and 3rd in the East, which to the optimist in me seems about right.
 

moondog80

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Sep 20, 2005
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From Reddit: Celtics are 51-31 since acquiring Isaiah Thomas 82 games ago.

So really, they were a 50 win team all along.

Does Brad Stevens get coach of the year consideration? Keep in mind that Steve Kerr missed a ton of time with his back surgery.
 

bowiac

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Dec 18, 2003
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I'd stay Stevens is probably 3rd? If the Warriors break the record, then Kerr is winning no matter how few games he coached. I also think Stevens is behind Casey right now.
 

bowiac

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Final projections, building in adjustments based on preseason results, updated minutes, and some additional schedule/rest effects. This has no subjective components - I'd obviously shade a bunch of these higher/lower. This is just an exercise is algorithm building.

As a small brag, these projections took home 2nd place in the APBR Projection contest in terms of average error, and 3rd place in terms of RMSE.

Went 23-7 vs. Vegas, and 19-3 where my picks differed from Vegas's by at least 1 game.
 
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wutang112878

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Nov 5, 2007
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As a small brag, these projections took home 2nd place in the APBR Projection contest in terms of average error, and 3rd place in terms of RMSE.

Went 23-7 vs. Vegas, and 19-3 where my picks differed from Vegas's by at least 1 game.
Well done, I hope you put some money down on that somehow.