Recent content by Toe Nash

  1. Toe Nash

    2024 Rotation and Bullpen (What we actually have - no trade speculation.)

    But they're only barely above the average. So even if it does, being 5th doesn't mean much other than I guess, they're not going to be terrible, which we basically knew. No one really thinks it's "dire" except that they don't have much depth.
  2. Toe Nash

    How good are Fangraphs Predictions (2023 Edition)

    Wouldn't Vegas O/U be a good dummy model? And agree about going over multiple years. If you're not doing better than Vegas odds over a significant sample you're probably not adding much value. I'd also like to see how close they are at predicting run differential or other underlying components...
  3. Toe Nash

    2024 Rotation and Bullpen (What we actually have - no trade speculation.)

    I'm sorry, we're using the 5th-best K-BB% in the SPRING as some kind of indication of the pitching staff? And this got published in a major outlet? Maybe if they were first it might be worth noting, but they were fifth and if you use the more common K/BB rate they were 8th because a number of...
  4. Toe Nash

    Jordan Montgomery signs with Arizona

    Xander Bogaerts says hi. Boras didn't have a great offseason but this is his strategy. Works more often than not.
  5. Toe Nash

    Potential new NFL rules

    I mean, it's not that dangerous right now because most kicks aren't returned. But yes, the problem is that everyone is sprinting full speed and collides with each other.
  6. Toe Nash

    Potential new NFL rules

    I think the new kickoff is actually fine and makes sense for player safety. It is also not interesting today when 98% of kicks are just touchbacks. But, I think they should have figured out a way to be able to have surprise onside kicks in some fashion, OR go back to the old rules where more...
  7. Toe Nash

    Potential new NFL rules

    A couple additional thoughts on hip-drop: There are a lot of articles parroting the NFL's note that a hip drop tackle is 20-25x more likely to cause injury than a "normal" tackle. Which, of course, sounds pretty bad. But, it says here that this is based on 15 injuries on 230 cases where a hop...
  8. Toe Nash

    Misc. Pats Offseason News

    Didn't Onwenu struggle when played at RT last year, or am I misremembering? Is the thinking that keeping him there for the whole year will be better and it's easier to get more help inside?
  9. Toe Nash

    What do you want Pats to do with #3?

    It's because he's a black QB and the unspoken assumption is that any black QB is in the NFL because he's a running threat. This is a sneaky bit of racism, how for a loooong time black baseball players were never labeled as "scrappy" while white utility infielders would get that label.
  10. Toe Nash

    Thoughts/Impressions on “The Dynasty” Apple TV Series

    If we had Lamar we wouldn't have the 3rd pick. This is stupid and I'm done here.
  11. Toe Nash

    Thoughts/Impressions on “The Dynasty” Apple TV Series

    Because we got a guy the next year that played about as well and took over from Michel, because the offensive line was similarly good and that is the main thing that determines success of running backs. It is a demonstration of the fungibility of Michel; they couldn't have gotten Harris...
  12. Toe Nash

    Thoughts/Impressions on “The Dynasty” Apple TV Series

    Because I see the risk as very minimal and we'd have a much better chance at titles for all of Lamar's career.
  13. Toe Nash

    Thoughts/Impressions on “The Dynasty” Apple TV Series

    Yes. Jackson is incredible, what the hell is this question, did you see the QB play the last 4 years?
  14. Toe Nash

    Are the risks of "Max Effort" worth the cost?

    Right...I also F'ed around in my 20s and didn't really make any progress on the career I have now nor saved any money, so it's not like spending 5 years playing ball (if I had any talent) would have made a difference there. Probably would have ended up better off if I had a college scholarship...