Total is 197.5 lol. They couldn’t make it low enough for a Game 7.Boston 2.5 point favorites on Sunday. I’m putting a substantial bet on them. They never make it easy but they always find a way
Total is 197.5 lol. They couldn’t make it low enough for a Game 7.Boston 2.5 point favorites on Sunday. I’m putting a substantial bet on them. They never make it easy but they always find a way
They tried playing a tight 2-for-1 at the end too. Butler(?) got to the line with :27 on the clock and after our shot clock violation Lowry almost got off and made that runner. You got the win and a good sweat too lol.That first half under for the Heat was a roller coaster. Looked awful early, then with like a minute left the Heat had 42, then it was white knuckle time at the end.
HRB, what have you bet so far?Total is 197.5 lol. They couldn’t make it low enough for a Game 7.
I only played the Under 197.5 when it came out. I may look at the Miami TT Under if Herro is out too. Much like last game I wouldn’t touch the side pregame. Too much variance in a team with young stars to close out a series to play the Celtics these last two games. I don’t like Miami’s offense at all without Herro so relying on Butler and Lowry’s corpse to knock down 3’s all night isn’t where I want my money either.HRB, what have you bet so far?
Im thinking about moving the line up to 3.5 or 4…I really don’t think this will be a nail biter
No.DK is offering +150 for Butler/Tatum to both get 25+.
Yay or nay?
Butler, not Brown. Looks like this happened in Games 1, 2, 6 so basically a coin flip for +150 odds, no?No.
The last time they both scored 25+ was game 5 against the Bucks. I don't think you're getting enough odds at +150 for something like that.
I like Brown and Tatum, not Butler and Brown. Maybe Im still scarred from Games 4 and 5 but I don’t know if Butler has another great game in himButler, not Brown. Looks like this happened in Games 1, 2, 6 so basically a coin flip for +150 odds, no?
You don’t like Butler and Tatum? Feel like both guys are going to get a ton of volume and probably FT points tooI like Brown and Tatum, not Butler and Brown. Maybe Im still scarred from Games 4 and 5 but I don’t know if Butler has another great game in him
Whoops, I totally misread that, thanks. It is better value with Butler and Tatum for sure. You are getting a couple points under each player's o/u for the game.Butler, not Brown. Looks like this happened in Games 1, 2, 6 so basically a coin flip for +150 odds, no?
Personally I am staying away from anything Butler related. I have no feel for what he’s going to do game to game. Is he injured? Is he using an injury as an excuse for playing like dog shit 2 games in a row?You don’t like Butler and Tatum? Feel like both guys are going to get a ton of volume and probably FT points too
Fair. Although if he lays a massive egg, I’ll gladly take that L (and the likely Celtics W).Personally I am staying away from anything Butler related. I have no feel for what he’s going to do game to game. Is he injured? Is he using an injury as an excuse for playing like dog shit 2 games in a row?
I could see him going out and playing really well or I could see him laying a massive egg…I really don’t have a grasp on it
Definitely yay at that price. Game 7’s are about the stars and I’d expect both to get a ton of touches. That’s an outrageous price imo.DK is offering +150 for Butler/Tatum to both get 25+.
Yay or nay?
Yes agree on pace. I’d look to fade the secondary players points numbers since the ball is going to be in Tatum and Butlers hands virtually every trip down the floor. ISO’s with them, PNR through them……tons of opportunities. I played Lowry Under 12.5 points this morning. That’s only prop I’ve played so far. He isn’t looking for his shot at all except end of the clock and by then we recognize it.Whoops, I totally misread that, thanks. It is better value with Butler and Tatum for sure. You are getting a couple points under each player's o/u for the game.
Channeling HRB here, defense in game 7 limiting pace and number of possessions will likely lead to a low scoring game overall. That would be the concern here.
But not a bad bet if you want something else to root for (besides the Cs victory of course).
Just opened DK and see it at -125 nowDefinitely yay at that price. Game 7’s are about the stars and I’d expect both to get a ton of touches. That’s an outrageous price imo.
It’s a promo that you have to opt in toJust opened DK and see it at -125 now
Yeah that makes a ton more sense from a pricing perspective.Just opened DK and see it at -125 now
I’m kinda sorta playing off a slow first 6 min. Right now here’s what I have and my plan (using units to better explain strategy)…..What do you guys think about 1st quarter under 48? Was way under in games 4 and 5, hoping for game 7 jitters and a sloppy start.
This is beautiful!!!View attachment 52030Gloatasticlly gonna leave this here - Feb 15th bet — see you in SFO ATTACH=full]52030[/ATTACH]
When I was looking at the late props I saw -150 just before Gametime. Nice hit!!I got my Butler/Tatum 25+ bet. Tatum made me sweat on that one.
Congratulations!View attachment 52030Gloatasticlly gonna leave this here - Feb 15th bet — see you in SFO ATTACH=full]52030[/ATTACH]
Oh wow, thank you for sharing this! I am going to try and find that bet myselfPlayed a Prop today that I feel is excellent value and fits directly in with my narrative on Boston being the better team/better matchup along with the Celtics struggling against a different system than they’ve seen for last 7 games.
* Warriors Win Game 1 and Celtics win Series (+400)
It’s on FanDuel.Oh wow, thank you for sharing this! I am going to try and find that bet myself
Yeah I love this bet, I was gonna come here and post the same thing.Played a Prop today that I feel is excellent value and fits directly in with my narrative on Boston being the better team/better matchup along with the Celtics struggling against a different system than they’ve seen for last 7 games.
* Warriors Win Game 1 and Celtics win Series (+400)
If the Celtics lose game 1, what do you imagine the series line will be? If it is longer than +235 then this is a bad bet. You would be better off just going with a straight moneyline bet on game 1 and then rolling your stake plus winnings into a series market bet.Played a Prop today that I feel is excellent value and fits directly in with my narrative on Boston being the better team/better matchup along with the Celtics struggling against a different system than they’ve seen for last 7 games.
* Warriors Win Game 1 and Celtics win Series (+400)
Not a bad point. I'd guess something like +210, +220 or so on the Celtics if they lose game 1, but maybe I'm off.If the Celtics lose game 1, what do you imagine the series line will be? If it is longer than +235 then this is a bad bet. You would be better off just going with a straight moneyline bet on game 1 and then rolling your stake plus winnings into a series market bet.
I don’t know what the series line would be but +235 seems pretty close. Genuinely asking. Oilers were about +215 before losing game one on the road tonight and now are +350.
If a little less you pay a few bucks for the flexibility of being able to have a game’s worth of information to decide whether to place the second bet. I guess I don’t see the need to jump into a juiced parlay that should be close to available as separate bets. I guess if Steph breaks an ankle at the end of a one point win in game one maybe the series line is worse but it would have to be something like that.
Edit — also if you have DK check for a promo where they will pay your money line bet on game 1 as a winner if your team loses after leading by 10 or more. If you have that promo you could use it to make your game 1 bet and get a little insurance that you cannot get if you bet it as a prop parlay.
Good post.If the Celtics lose game 1, what do you imagine the series line will be? If it is longer than +235 then this is a bad bet. You would be better off just going with a straight moneyline bet on game 1 and then rolling your stake plus winnings into a series market bet.
I don’t know what the series line would be but +235 seems pretty close. Genuinely asking. Oilers were about +215 before losing game one on the road tonight and now are +350.
If a little less you pay a few bucks for the flexibility of being able to have a game’s worth of information to decide whether to place the second bet. I guess I don’t see the need to jump into a juiced parlay that should be close to available as separate bets. I guess if Steph breaks an ankle at the end of a one point win in game one maybe the series line is worse but it would have to be something like that.
Edit — also if you have DK check for a promo where they will pay your money line bet on game 1 as a winner if your team loses after leading by 10 or more. If you have that promo you could use it to make your game 1 bet and get a little insurance that you cannot get if you bet it as a prop parlay.
Seems in the ballpark. If all the games were thought to be a coin flip the implied odds of a team winning at least 3 of 6 is .667 or +200 for the .333 side. I think the books have Celtics as a modest underdog.Not a bad point. I'd guess something like +210, +220 or so on the Celtics if they lose game 1, but maybe I'm off.
I haven't seen any added juice on parlays at the books I use (offshore so BetOnline, bet105, and Bookmaker are what I am using). Although I rarely bet parlays.Seems in the ballpark. If all the games were thought to be a coin flip the implied odds of a team winning at least 3 of 6 is .667 or +200 for the .333 side. I think the books have Celtics as a modest underdog.
I guess my general assumption is that when a book sells a parlay they do it to add juice and so my guess is that +235 will be close. Anyway, I can’t say I am rooting for you guys and I hope we do not find out!
Shit….I’M not even rooting for us on this one tonigjt!! LolAnyway, I can’t say I am rooting for you guys and I hope we do not find out!
I really miss betfair, had a lot of fun with that when I lived in the UK. Sadly we have no betting markets available in the US. Would love to see betfair expand here now that the laws have been changing.Seems to me if you're of the opinion that the W's win G1 but the C's win the series you sell the W's series (I see it trading 1.72 on Betfair) at 40% more notional than you buy W's G1 (available at 1.63). If you're right about G1 and the W's win it you put the rest of your intended amount of the C's at the better odds. If you're wrong on G1 then at least you've gotten some Boston before the price goes up. Should be able to beat +400 either way.
Total now up to 213.5 and 214. Warriors TT which did open 107.5 is now 108.5Played some Over 211 for Thursday night. Game 1 should have plenty of flow and pace to it and wanted to grab this early at BetOnline tonight as I expect it to bump up some by tomorrow when my locals have it posted.
Edit: Warriors TT Over also looks good in G1 due to our adjustment period and their propensity to go on big runs at home putting points up in a hurry. It figures to be open 107.5 I’d guess.
The way I played it was to put $500 on the Celtics at +145 and then I hedged at -164. If the Celtics get up at any point by 10, I'll basically be rolling with a $35 +3100 bet on the Celtics blowing the lead which will be a nice solace if they do. Or I might actually just put more on the Celtics side on a live bet in order to lock up some profit.I did the DK promo and put it on the Dubs. Hoping for the best case scenario where the Dubs blow a 10 point lead and lose but I still win the bet. But if the Celtics win a close one where the Dubs never lead by 10+, I'll certainly gladly lose this bet.
DK is pretty strict on playing both sides of a promo. I’ll be curious to hear if they let it stand but definitely a smart strategy if it works!The way I played it was to put $500 on the Celtics at +145 and then I hedged at -164. If the Celtics get up at any point by 10, I'll basically be rolling with a $35 +3100 bet on the Celtics blowing the lead which will be a nice solace if they do. Or I might actually just put more on the Celtics side on a live bet in order to lock up some profit.
(I don't really actually gamble -- I'm an arber. I also just discovered this thread and so I'm sorry in advance if this kind of stuff is not really discussed here, and I'll go back to lurking.)
Right, sorry. I never use the same book. -164 was Wynn.DK is pretty strict on playing both sides of a promo. I’ll be curious to hear if they let it stand but definitely a smart strategy if it works!
Ha, I didn’t even think about playing different books against each other. Very savvy.Right, sorry. I never use the same book. -164 was Wynn.
I just maxed it out on the Celtics. I think we jump out quick and they’re rusty, similar to G1 against the Heat. Or maybe I’m just a degenerate.I did the DK promo and put it on the Dubs. Hoping for the best case scenario where the Dubs blow a 10 point lead and lose but I still win the bet. But if the Celtics win a close one where the Dubs never lead by 10+, I'll certainly gladly lose this bet.