Sox are 66-51, the fifth best record in the league. They are 2 games up on the MFY for the last spot. How many wins do we need to keep that spot or get better and reach the postseason?
I don't think they can play at this unsustainable pace even with those guys returning. Who knows how they'll perform coming off injuries anyway?Y'all are wayyyy too optimistic. The MFYs have been sucking out games with a bunch of refuse pitchers. At some point real pitchers like Severino and Kluber are coming back.
Ok but also Cole and even Montgomery. We need the Sox to rip through the garbage on the schedule.I don't think they can play at this unsustainable pace even with those guys returning. Who knows how they'll perform coming off injuries anyway?
Huh? 30-32 wins is like 667 ball. 500 ball would be 22-23 wins and 88-89 total.I voted 30-32 - I think .500 ball gets them there. Not sure how confident I am in that happening, though ...
Yes. 2 of 3’s don’t cut it. Gotta clean those out.Yeah 96 wins is the absolute minimum so they need to go +30-15
24 games against dead teams - Rangers, O's, Twins, Nats and Indians. Clean up on those and we can talk.
Yep at this point just winning series may not be enough.Yes. 2 of 3’s don’t cut it. Gotta clean those out.
I’m guessing you’re leaving out division winners Houston and Chicago…. This is exactly what I think we’ll see (Fangraphs). If the WC teams tie, what’s the process for which team gets home field?My prediction is something like this:
Tampa 97 wins
Sox 91
Jays 89
Mariners 89
Yanks 88
A's 86
The Mariners are no joke and still have 16 games vs the Royals, Rangers and D-Backs.
FWIW fangraphs has it:
Tampa 95
A's 92
Sox 92
Yanks 90
Jays 90
Mariners 83
Without doing any digging, I believe the first tiebreaker is head-to-head record. After that, it's some other split (division record, interleague record, something like that).I’m guessing you’re leaving out division winners Houston and Chicago…. This is exactly what I think we’ll see (Fangraphs). If the WC teams tie, what’s the process for which team gets home field?
They'd have to go .695 the rest of the way to do that, or 14 losses.MFYs about to win the series vs ChiSox. One Halos game and four Twins games (so an easy sweep) next week sandwiched around the Sox series.
96 is required. No question about it. Oh and not losing a series to the MFYs would help too.
15-5 since SOSH administered last rites to the MFYs. GJGEThey've gone 14-5 with half a lineup and a quarter of a staff. So no I'm not doubting a damn thing right now.
Oy, after losing both games of doubleheader you may be right. I was suckered by the wins against an abjectly horrible Orioles team into thinking they were righting the ship. So naive.
If there isn't a single reliable arm left in the bullpen, there's no chance this team can make the playoffs. They'll bludgeon the bad teams and lose close games to good teams along the way to a .500 record the rest of the way. That will put them at 90 wins and 3 games back of the second wild card.
Okay, not a stretch of a prognostication, but I did call 93 wins and a Red Sox -Yankees WC on August 15!I think it'll take 93 wins to get in ...Looking over the As schedule - it's tough.
Which had me realizing ...something MLB will love, but will be more anxiety producing than it's worth for me: Red Sox-Yankees WC game ....That's my guess right now what we'll see saving any wave of injuries to either team ...Yanks/Sox single game elimination ...1978 Redux ....
Dead on, except the Sox got to be home team.I think 92 wins can get us the second WC spot so I voted 24-26.